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Idiosyncratic Risk and the Creative Destruction in Japan

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Author Info
Yasushi Hamao
Jianping Mei
Yexiao Xu
Abstract

The dramatic rise and fall of the Japanese equity market provides a unique opportunity to examine market-and firm-specific risks over different market conditions. The price behavior of Japanese equities in the 1990s is found to resemble that of U.S. equities during the Great Depression. Both show increasing market volatility and a prolonged large co-movement in equity prices. What is unique about the Japanese case is the surprising fall in firm-level volatility and turnover in Japanese stocks after its market crash in 1990. This large decrease in firm-level volatility may have impeded Japan's capital formation process as it has become more difficult over the past decade for both investors and managers to separate high quality from low quality firms. Using data on firm performance fundamentals and corporate bankruptcies, we show that the fall in firm-level volatility and turnover in Japanese stocks could be attributed to the sharp increase in earnings homogeneity among Japanese firms and the lack of corporate restructuring.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 9642.

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Date of creation: Apr 2003
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9642

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G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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  4. Beck, Thorsten & Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman, 2000. "Finance and the sources of growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1-2), pages 261-300. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Vojislav Maksimovic, 1998. "Law, Finance, and Firm Growth," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(6), pages 2107-2137, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Connor, Gregory & Korajczyk, Robert A, 1993. " A Test for the Number of Factors in an Approximate Factor Model," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1263-91, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Naomi Griffin & Kazuhiko Odaki, 2009. "Reallocation and productivity growth in Japan: revisiting the lost decade of the 1990s," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 125-136, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Hui Guo & Robert Savickas, 2006. "Aggregate idiosyncratic volatility in G7 countries," Working Papers 2004-027, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  3. David Cook & Woon Gyu Choi, 2005. "Stock Market Liquidity and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Japan," IMF Working Papers 05/6, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Timotheos Angelidis, 2008. "Idiosyncratic Risk in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 0018, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. R. Anton Braun & Etsuro Shioji, 2003. "Aggregate Risk in Japanese Equity Markets," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-250, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. [Downloadable!]
  6. Se-Jik Kim, 2003. "Macro Effects of Corporate Restructuring in Japan," IMF Working Papers 03/203, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. Michael Drew & Alastair Marsden & Madhu Veeraraghavan, 2004. "Idiosyncratic Volatility Matter? New Zealand Evidence," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 177, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
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