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Macroeconomic Volatility in Latin America: A View and Three Case Studies

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Ricardo J. Caballero

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Abstract

After decades of trial, error, and occasional regress the pieces of a successful Latin American economic model can be seen scattered among the leading economies of the region. The most traditional macroeconomic maladies of the emerging world - such as chronic fiscal imbalances and monetary gimmicks are gradually being left behind. Many of these economies have made significant progress in their regulatory and supervisory frameworks and, at times, have been leaders beyond Latin American boundaries in allowing private sector co-participation in a wide array of ex-public sector activities. Despite these significant efforts, several structural sources of volatility remain, and new ones have emerged as a result of the new and otherwise better economic environment. In this paper I review these sources through the recent experiences of Argentina, Chile and Mexico.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 7782.

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Date of creation: Jul 2000
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:7782

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F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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  1. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silane & Andrei Shleifer & Robert W. Vishny, 1996. "Law and Finance," NBER Working Papers 5661, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Piketty, Thomas & Banerjee, Abhijit & Aghion, Philippe, 1997. "Dualism and macroeconomic volatility," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9720, CEPREMAP.
    Other versions:
  3. Peter M. Garber, 1998. "Derivatives in International Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 6623, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ricardo J. Caballero & Arvind Krishnamurthy, 2000. "International Liquidity Management: Sterilization Policy in Illiquid Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 7740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Gelos, R. Gaston & Werner, Alejandro M., 2002. "Financial liberalization, credit constraints, and collateral: investment in the Mexican manufacturing sector," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 1-27, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Bulow, Jeremy & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1989. "Sovereign Debt: Is to Forgive to Forget?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(1), pages 43-50, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Ricardo Caballero & Arvind Krishnamurthy, 1998. "Emerging Market Crises: An Asset Markets Perspective," Working papers 98-18, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
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  8. Ricardo J. Caballero, 2000. "Structural Volatility in Mexico: A Policy Report," RES Working Papers 4209, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  9. Ricardo J. Caballero, 2000. "Structural Volatility in Argentina: A Policy Report," RES Working Papers 4213, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Guillermo Ortiz, 2000. "How should monetary policymakers react to the new challenges of global economic integration: commentary," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 255-276. [Downloadable!]
  2. Alexis Saludjian, 2006. "Flux de capital et intégration régionale : Une etude économétrique des Principaux déterminants de l'instabilité Macro-économique dans le Cône sud-américain," Post-Print hal-00418437_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
  3. Sandeep Kapur & Luis Catão, 2004. "Missing Link: Volatility and the Debt Intolerance Paradox," IMF Working Papers 04/51, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Partha Sen, 2007. "Capital Inflows, Financial Repression And Macroeconomic Policy In India Since The Reforms," Working papers 157, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Marco Espinosa-Vega & Alessandro Rebucci, 2003. "Retail Bank Interest Rate Pass-Through: Is Chile Atypical?," IMF Working Papers 03/112, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Clemens, Marius & Fuhrmann, Wilfried, 2008. "Rohstoffbasierte Staatsfonds: Theorie und Empirie
    [Resource-based sovereign wealth funds]
    ," MPRA Paper 16933, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  7. Claudia S. Gómez-López & Luis A.Puch, 2008. "Macroeconomic Consequences of International Commodity Price Shocks," Working Papers 2008-27, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  8. Ricardo Hausmann & Roberto Rigobon, 2003. "An Alternative Interpretation of the 'Resource Curse': Theory and Policy Implications," NBER Working Papers 9424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. José Pablo Dapena, 2006. "Volatility of GDP, macro applications and policy implications of real options for structure of capital Markets," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 320, Universidad del CEMA. [Downloadable!]
  10. Fabrizio Onida, 2004. "Crescita e vincolo esterno: quali strategie per promuovere stabilità macroeconomica, competitività e investimenti," CESPRI Working Papers 157, CESPRI, Centre for Research on Innovation and Internationalisation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, revised Jul 2004. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jaime Guajardo, 2004. "Financial Frictions and Business Cycles in Developing Countries," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 307, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jaime Guajardo, 2008. "Financial Frictions and Business Cycles in Middle-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 08/20, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  13. Impavido, Gregorio & Musalem, Alberto R. & Tressel, Thierry, 2001. "Contractual savings institutions and banks'stability and efficiency," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2751, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  14. José Pablo Dapena, 2005. "Relación entre volatilidad de tasas de crecimiento del producto y volatilidad en el precio del stock de capital y su impacto en el nivel de inversión agregada de la economía," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 294, Universidad del CEMA. [Downloadable!]
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