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Are U.S. Multinationals Exporting U.S. Jobs?

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Author Info
S. Lael Brainard
David A. Riker
Abstract

Many allege multinationals are exporting' U.S. jobs when they expand operations abroad. This paper investigates the extent to which expansion of offshore production by U.S. multinationals reduces labor demand at home and at other offshore locations, using a panel on U.S. multinationals and their foreign affiliates between 1983 and 1992. The results suggest that foreign affiliate employment substitutes modestly at the margins for U.S. parent employment. There is much stronger substitution between workers at affiliates in alternative low wage locations. In contrast, activities performed by affiliates at locations with different workforce skill levels in the same region appear to be complements. The results suggest a vertical division of activities among countries with different workforce skill levels, where workers in developing countries compete with each other to perform the activities most sensitive to labor costs. When wages in developing countries, such as Mexico, fall 10 percent, U.S. parent employment falls 0.17 percent, while affiliates in other developing countries, such as Malaysia, lay off 1.6 percent of their workforce.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5958.

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Date of creation: Mar 1997
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5958

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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  1. Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Anna M. Falzoni, Alessandro Turrini, 2001. "The decision to invest in a low-wage country: Evidence from Italian textiles and clothing multinationals," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 451-470, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Tain-Jy Chen & Ying-Hua Ku, 2003. "The Effects of Overseas Investment on Domestic Employment," NBER Working Papers 10156, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Helen Simpson, 2007. "Investment abroad and adjustment at home: evidence from UK multinational firms," IFS Working Papers W07/07, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ludo Cuyvers & Michel Dumont & Glenn Rayp & Katrien Stevens, 2005. "Home Employment Effects of EU Firms’ Activities in Central and Eastern European Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 153-174, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Barba Navaretti, Giorgio & Castellani, Davide & Disdier, Anne-Célia, 2006. "How Does Investing in Cheap Labour Countries Affect Performance at Home? France and Italy," CEPR Discussion Papers 5765, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Amiti, Mary & Wakelin, Katharine, 2002. "Investment Liberalization and International Trade," CEPR Discussion Papers 3492, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Robert Feenstra & Gordon Hanson, 2001. "Global Production Sharing and Rising Inequality: A Survey of Trade and Wages," NBER Working Papers 8372, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. L. Cuyvers & M. Dumont & G. Rayp & K. Stevens, 2002. "Home Employment Effects of EU Firms' Activities in Central and Eastern European Countries," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 02/158, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration. [Downloadable!]
  9. Joseph Francois & Douglas R. Nelson, 2000. "Victims of Progress: Economic Integration, Specialization, and Wages for Unskilled Labor," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-065/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Barba Navaretti, Giorgio & Checchi, Daniele & Turrini, Alessandro Antonio, 2003. "Adjusting Labour Demand: Multinational versus National Firms- A Cross-European Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 3751, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. Debaere, Peter & Lee, Hongshik & Lee, Joonhyung, 2006. "Does Where You Go Matter? The Impact of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on Multinationals' Employment at Home," CEPR Discussion Papers 5737, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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