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Should the Stagnant Homeownership Rate be a Source of Concern?

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Richard K. Green

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Abstract

The homeownership rate in the United States was essentially stagnant during the 1980's. This stagnation should be a source of concern if the rate reflects stagnant economic conditions and ownership opportunities, not if it simply reflects changing demographic conditions or preferences. Using a series of affordability measures, we find that homeownership opportunities improved almost everywhere during the 1980's, suggesting that the cause of the stagnant rate was something other than economic conditions. In fact, we find that both demographics and changes in preferences led to an increase in the proportion of households headed by single people; all else being equal, this would tend to push the owner-occupancy rate downward. We also found that while homeownership opportunities improved during the 1980's, the ex ante use cost of owning a home increased almost everywhere, reducing the financial attractiveness of owning a home. The combination of improving affordability conditions and worsening financial appeal had an overall neutral effect on the aggregate ownership rate.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5176.

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Date of creation: Jul 1995
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5176

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  1. Matthew Chambers & Carlos Garriga & Don E. Schlagenhauf, 2007. "Accounting for changes in the homeownership rate," Working Paper 2007-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Rodriguez, J. & Barrios, J., 2004. "Politica fiscal de vivienda en EspaƱa y forma de tenencia de la vivienda habitual: una valoracion empirica a nivel provincial," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 4(2). [Downloadable!]
  3. Ron Feldman, 2002. "Mortgage rates, homeownership rates, and government-sponsored enterprises," Annual Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, pages 4-23. [Downloadable!]
  4. Christopher J. Mayer & Gary V. Engelhardt, 1994. "Gifts, down payments, and housing affordability," Working Papers 94-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. [Downloadable!]
  5. Richard K. Green, 2006. "Airports and Economic Development," Working Papers 0002, School of Business, The George Washington University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. David Duffy, 2007. "The Housing Tenure of Immigrants in Ireland: Some Preliminary Analysis," Papers WP188, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
  7. Richard K. Green & Donald Bradley & Brian Surette, 2006. "Overcoming the Barriers to Mexican-American Homeownership," Working Papers 0001, School of Business, The George Washington University. [Downloadable!]
  8. Lewis M. Segal & Daniel G. Sullivan, 1998. "Trends in homeownership: race, demographics, and income," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Q II, pages 53-72. [Downloadable!]
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