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Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

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Eric M. Engen
Jonathan Skinner

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Abstract

One view of government fiscal policy is that it stifles dynamic economic growth through the distortionary effects of taxation and inefficient government spending. Another view is that government plays a central role in economic development by providing public goods and infrastructure. This paper develops a generalized model of fiscal policy and output growth that allows for (i) a positive or negative effect of government spending on private productivity, (ii) increasing or decreasing returns to scale, (iii) a transition path away from the equilibrium growth path, and (iv) intratemporal tax distortions. Using data from 107countries during the period 1970-85,and correcting for the potentially serious problem of endogeneity in government policy, we find that a balanced-budget increase in government spending and taxation is predicted to reduce output growth rates.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 4223.

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Date of creation: Dec 1992
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:4223

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  1. Mervyn A. King & Mark Robson, 1989. "Endogenous Growth and the role of History," NBER Working Papers 3151, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Enrique G. Mendoza & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti & Patrick Asea, 1995. "Do taxes matter for long-run growth?: Harberger's superneutrality conjecture," International Finance Discussion Papers 511, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  2. Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2003. "Convergence Club Empirics: Some Dynamics and Explanations of Unequal Growth across Indian States," STICERD - Distributional Analysis Research Programme Papers 69, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Christoph A. Schaltegger & Benno Torgler, 2006. "Growth effects of public expenditure on the state and local level: evidence from a sample of rich governments," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1181-1192, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Francisco de Castro Fernández & José Manuel González Mínguez, 2008. "The composition of public finances and long-term growth: a macroeconomic approach," Banco de España Occasional Papers 0809, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  5. Norman Gemmell & Richard Kneller, 2003. "Fiscal Policy, Growth and Convergence in Europe," Treasury Working Paper Series 03/14, New Zealand Treasury. [Downloadable!]
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  6. M., Azali & Wong , K. S. Kelly & Lee, C. & Shafinaz, Ahmad Nazar, 2007. "The Asean-5 Future Currency: Maastricht Criteria," MPRA Paper 10272, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  7. F. Calidoni, 2005. "The effects of public transfers on productivity," Economics Department Working Papers 2005-EP01, Department of Economics, Parma University (Italy). [Downloadable!]
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  8. Kalle Kukk, 2007. "Fiscal Policy Effects on Economic Growth: Short Run vs Long Run," Working Papers 167, School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology. [Downloadable!]
  9. Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett & Nouriel Roubini, 1995. "Growth Effects of Income and Consumption Taxes: Positive and Normative Analysis," NBER Working Papers 5317, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Dong Fu & Lori L. Taylor & Mine K. Yücel, 2003. "Fiscal policy and growth," Working Papers 03-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
  11. W. Robert Reed & Cynthia L. Rogers, 2005. "Tax Burden and the Mismeasurement of State Tax Policy," Public Economics 0505001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  12. Peter N. Ireland, 1994. "Two perspectives on growth and taxes," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Win, pages 1-18. [Downloadable!]
  13. de Castro Alxandre Samy & Goldin, Ian & Pereira da Silva, Luiz A., 2002. "Relative returns to policy reform - evidence from controlled cross-country regressions," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2898, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  14. Gemmell, Norman, 2001. "Fiscal Policy in a Growth Framework," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  15. Günther Rehme, 2004. "Why Run a Million Regressions? Endogenous Policy and Cross Country Growth Empirics," Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 140, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (Department of Economics), Technische Universität Darmstadt (Darmstadt University of Technology). [Downloadable!]
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  16. Jinli Zeng, 2002. "Reexamining the Interaction between Innovation and Capital Accumulation," Departmental Working Papers wp0203, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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