Changes in Earnings Differentials in the 1980s: Concordance, Convergence, Causes, and Consequences
AbstractThis paper analyzes changes in U.S. earnings differentials in the 1980s between race, gender, age, and schooling groups. There are four main sets of results to report. First, the economic position of less-educated workers declined relative to the more-educated among almost all demographic groups. Education-earnings differentials clearly rose for whites, but less clearly for blacks, while employment rate differences associated with education increased more for blacks than for whites. Second, much of the change in education-earnings differentials for specific groups is attributable to measurable economic factors: to changes in the occupational or industrial structure of employment; to changes in average wages within industries; to the fall in the real value of the minimum wage and the tall in union density; and to changes in the relative growth rate of more-educated workers. Third, the earnings and employment position of white females, and to a lesser extent of black females, converged to that of white males in the 1980s, across education groups. At the same time, the economic position of more-educated black males appears to have worsened relative to their white-male counterparts. Fourth, there has been a sizable college-enrollment response to the rising relative wages of college graduates. This response suggests that education-earnings differentials may stop increasing, or even start to decline, in the near future.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 3901.
Date of creation: Nov 1991
Date of revision:
Publication status: published as Papadimitriou, Dimitri B. and Edward N. Wolff (eds.) Poverty and Prosperity in the USA in the late Twentieth Century. London: Macmillan, 1993.
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Other versions of this item:
- McKinley L. Blackburn & David E Bloom & Richard B Freeman, 1991. "Changes in Earnings Differentials in the 1980s: Concordance, Convergence, Causes, and Consequence," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_61, Levy Economics Institute.
- Bloom, D.E. & Freeman, R.B. & Blackburn, M.L., 1991. "Changes in Earnings Differentials in the 1980's: Concordance , Convergence, Causes, and Consequences," Discussion Papers, Columbia University, Department of Economics 1991_48, Columbia University, Department of Economics.
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- Allen, Steven G, 2001.
"Technology and the Wage Structure,"
Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 19(2), pages 440-83, April.
- Jacob Mincer, 1991. "Human Capital, Technology, and the Wage Structure: What Do Time Series Show?," NBER Working Papers 3581, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Juhn, Chinhui & Murphy, Kevin M & Pierce, Brooks, 1993. "Wage Inequality and the Rise in Returns to Skill," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(3), pages 410-42, June.
- Lofstrom, Magnus, 2000. "A Comparison of the Human Capital and Signaling Models: The Case of the Self-Employed and the Increase in the Schooling Premium in the 1980's," IZA Discussion Papers 160, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
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