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Integration of Mortgage and Capital Markets and the Accumulation of Residential Capital

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  • Patric H. Hendershott
  • Robert Van Order

Abstract

The securitization of fixed-rate mortgages suggests that the FRA/VA market was fully integrated with capital markets by the early l98Os and that the conventional market moved toward integration during the l98Os. Assuming full integration of FHA/VA5 via the GNMA securitization process, we first estimate equations explaining near-par GNMA prices weekly for the 1981-88 period. The price is then set equal to the new-issue price and, based upon the preferred equation, the perfect-market retail coupon rate is computed. Next we estimate equations (for three year segments of the 1971-88 period) explaining conventional commitment mortgage coupon rates in terms of current and lagged values of this perfect-market coupon rate. Finally, we examine differences between the perfect-market and actual coupon rates and compute the impact of these differences on residential capital accumulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Patric H. Hendershott & Robert Van Order, 1989. "Integration of Mortgage and Capital Markets and the Accumulation of Residential Capital," NBER Working Papers 2847, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:2847
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patric H. Hendershott & Robert Van Order, 1987. "Pricing Mortgages: An Interpretation of the Models and Results," NBER Working Papers 2290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. David F. Seiders, 1983. "Mortgage Pass‐Through Securities: Progress and Prospects," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 11(2), pages 264-287, June.
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    5. Patric H. Hendershott, 1980. "Real User Costs and the Demand for Single-Family Housing," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 11(2), pages 401-452.
    6. Chester Foster & Robert Van Order, 1985. "FHA Terminations: A Prelude to Rational Mortgage Pricing," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 13(3), pages 273-291, September.
    7. Howard L. Roth, 1988. "Volatile mortgage rates - a new fact of life?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 73(Mar), pages 16-28.
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    9. Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985. "An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Model of Asset Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 363-384, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Arturo Estrella, 2002. "Securitization and the efficacy of monetary policy," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 8(May), pages 243-255.
    2. Kristopher Gerardi & Harvey S. Rosen & Paul Willen, 2007. "Do Households Benefit from Financial Deregulation and Innovation? The Case of the Mortgage Market," Working Papers 61, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    3. Patric H. Hendershott & Herbert M. Kaufman (ary), 1992. "The market for home mortgage credit: recent changes and future prospects," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, pages 99-127.
    4. Ambrose, Brent W. & Buttimer, Richard Jr., 2005. "GSE impact on rural mortgage markets," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 417-443, July.
    5. Patric H. Hendershott, 1991. "An Altered U.S. Housing Finance System: Implications for Housing," NBER Working Papers 3770, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kristopher Gerardi & Harvey S. Rosen & Paul S. Willen, 2006. "Do households benefit from financial deregulation and innovation?: the case of the mortgage market," Public Policy Discussion Paper 06-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    7. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    8. Rudolph, Patricia M. & Griffith, John, 1997. "Integration of the Mortgage Market into the National Capital Markets: 1963-1993," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 164-183, June.
    9. Alla Koblyakova & Michael White, 2017. "Supply driven mortgage choice," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(5), pages 1194-1210, April.
    10. Frank Gyamfi-Yeboah & Alan Ziobrowski, 2010. "The Integration of Mortgage and Capital Markets in Emerging Economies—Evidence from South Africa," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 339-353, October.
    11. Donald R. Epley & Kartono Liano, 1999. "The Residential Mortgage Supply Function of Commercial Banks," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(11), pages 1959-1971, October.
    12. Patric H. Hendershott & James D. Shilling, 1989. "Reforming Conforming Loan Limits: The Impact on Thrift Earnings and Taxpayer Outlays," NBER Working Papers 3010, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Matiur Rahman & Muhammad Mustafa & Michael Kurth, 1997. "Integration and causality in US mortgage and T-bond markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(7), pages 445-447.
    14. James M. Poterba, 1994. "Public Policy and Housing in the United States," NBER Chapters, in: Housing Markets in the United States and Japan, pages 239-256, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Ali Darrat & Ross Dickens & Osamah Al-Khazali, 2006. "Interactions between mortgage and other capital markets in the USA: has financial deregulation made a difference?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 335-345.
    16. Jonathan McCarthy & Richard Peach, 2002. "Monetary policy transmission to residential investment," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 8(May), pages 139-158.
    17. Patric H. Hendershott, 1994. "Housing Finance in the United States," NBER Chapters, in: Housing Markets in the United States and Japan, pages 65-86, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. J. Sa-Aadu & James Shilling & George Wang, 2000. "A Test of Integration and Cointegration of Commercial Mortgage Rates," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 45-61, October.
    19. Amelia Pais, 2008. "Securitization and Rate Setting in the UK Mortgage Market," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 8(1‐2), pages 57-80, March.

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