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Globalization and the Increasing Correlation between Capital Inflows and Outflows

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  • J. Scott Davis
  • Eric van Wincoop

Abstract

We document that the correlation between capital inflows and outflows has increased substantially over time in a sample of 128 advanced and developing countries. We provide evidence that this is a result of an increase in financial globalization (stock of external assets and liabilities). This dominates the effect of an increase in trade globalization (exports plus imports), which reduces the correlation between capital inflows and outflows. In the context of a two-country model with 14 shocks we show that the theoretical impact of financial and trade globalization on the correlation between capital inflows and outflows is consistent with the data.

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  • J. Scott Davis & Eric van Wincoop, 2017. "Globalization and the Increasing Correlation between Capital Inflows and Outflows," NBER Working Papers 23671, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23671
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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