The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
AbstractThis paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment losses along with larger increases in the value of imports from China and the number of firms engaged in China-U.S. trade. These results are robust to other potential explanations of the employment loss, and we show that the U.S. employment trends differ from those in the EU, where there was no change in policy.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 18655.
Date of creation: Dec 2012
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Other versions of this item:
- Pierce, Justin R. & Schott, Peter K., 2013. "The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-4, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Justin R. Pierce & Peter K. Schott, 2014. "The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment," CESifo Working Paper Series 4563, CESifo Group Munich.
- Justin Pierce & Peter Schott, 2013. "The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment," Working Papers 13-59, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
- F1 - International Economics - - Trade
- J0 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General
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