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Valuation, Adverse Selection, and Market Collapses

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  • Michael J. Fishman
  • Jonathan A. Parker

Abstract

We study a market for funding real investment in which valuation creates information on which adverse selection can occur. Unlike in previous models, higher amounts of valuation are associated with lower market prices and so greater returns to valuation, and this strategic complementarity in the capacity to do valuation generates multiple equilibria. In this region, the equilibrium without valuation is always more efficient despite funding projects that valuation would reveal as unprofitable. Valuation equilibria look like credit crunches. A large investor can ensure the efficient equilibrium only if it can precommit to a price and, for some parameters, only if subsidized.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael J. Fishman & Jonathan A. Parker, 2012. "Valuation, Adverse Selection, and Market Collapses," NBER Working Papers 18358, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:18358
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    Cited by:

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    3. Koenig, Philipp J. & Pothier, David, 2022. "Safe but fragile: Information acquisition, liquidity support and redemption runs," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    4. Farboodi, Maryam & Kondor, Peter, 2018. "Heterogeneous global cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118911, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Ernest Liu & Benjamin N. Roth, 2020. "Contractual Restrictions and Debt Traps," Working Papers 2020-30, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    6. Maryam Farboodi & Péter Kondor, 2022. "Heterogeneous Global Booms and Busts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(7), pages 2178-2212, July.
    7. Asano, Koji, 2018. "Ignorant Experts and Financial Fragility," MPRA Paper 90830, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Müting, Miriam, 2019. "Multinational banking: The crisis and its policy response," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203647, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. David L. Dicks & James R. Garven, 2022. "Asymmetric information and insurance cycles," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 89(2), pages 449-474, June.
    10. Seyed Mohammadreza Davoodalhosseini, 2020. "Adverse Selection With Heterogeneously Informed Agents," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1307-1358, August.
    11. Pablo Kurlat, 2019. "The Social Value of Financial Expertise," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(2), pages 556-590, February.
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    13. Asano, Koji, 2021. "Managing Financial Expertise," MPRA Paper 107665, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Kim, Jinhwan & Valentine, Kristen, 2023. "Public firm disclosures and the market for innovation," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1).
    15. Basso, Henrique S., 2022. "Asset holdings, information aggregation in secondary markets and credit cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
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    18. Vladimir Kulil, 2019. "Intangible Assets and Goodwill Valuation in the European Union," International Journal of Innovation and Economic Development, Inovatus Services Ltd., vol. 5(3), pages 25-30, August.

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    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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