Protectionism Isn’t Counter‐Cyclic (anymore)
AbstractConventional wisdom holds that protectionism is counter-cyclic; tariffs, quotas and the like grow during recessions. While that may have been a valid description of the data before the Second World War, it is now inaccurate. In the post-war era, protectionism has not actually moved counter-cyclically. Tariffs and non-tariff barriers simply do not rise systematically during cyclic downturns. I document this new stylized fact with a panel of data covering over 60 countries and 30 years, using eighteen measures of protectionism and seven of business cycles. I also provide some hints as to why protectionism is no longer counter-cyclic.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 18062.
Date of creation: May 2012
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Publication status: published as “Protectionism isn’t Counter-Cyclic (anymore)”, NBER WP 18,062, CEPR DP 8937, Economic Policy 2013.
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Other versions of this item:
- Rose, Andrew K, 2012. "Protectionism Isnâ€™t Counter-Cyclic (anymore)," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 8937, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
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- Bown, Chad P. & Crowley, Meredith A., 2013.
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