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Investment and Growth in Rich and Poor Countries

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  • Yin-Wong Cheung
  • Michael P. Dooley
  • Vladyslav Sushko

Abstract

This paper revisits the association between investment and growth. The empirical findings highlight substantial heterogeneity for the effect of investment on growth and suggest a possible negative association. Results based on a battery of cross-sectional and time-series regressions show that the link between investment and growth has weakened over time and that investment in high-income countries is more likely to have a negative effect on growth. The adverse effect for high-income countries appears to have increased over time. An implication is that uphill capital flows could be associated with negative or zero returns. The result is robust to the presence of control variables that are commonly included in growth studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Yin-Wong Cheung & Michael P. Dooley & Vladyslav Sushko, 2012. "Investment and Growth in Rich and Poor Countries," NBER Working Papers 17788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17788
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    Cited by:

    1. Kummer-Noormamode, Sabina, 2018. "The Relationship between Public Debt and Economic Growth: Nonlinearity and Country-Specificity," MPRA Paper 98075, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Vodă Alina Daniela & Duguleană Liliana & Dobrotă Gabriela, 2019. "Investments, Economic Growth And Employment: Var Method For Romania," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 14(2), pages 231-244, August.
    3. Huh, Hyeon-seung & Kim, David, 2013. "An empirical test of exogenous versus endogenous growth models for the G-7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 262-272.
    4. Aizenman, Joshua & Pinto, Brian & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2013. "Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector in the open economy: Up by the stairs, down by the parachute," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 1-30.
    5. -, 2018. "Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2018. Evolution of investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: stylized facts, determinants and policy challenges," Estudio Económico de América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 43965 edited by Eclac, September.
    6. Meyer Daniel Francois & Sanusi Kaseem Abimbola, 2019. "A Causality Analysis of the Relationships Between Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Economic Growth and Employment in South Africa," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 64(1), pages 33-44, April.
    7. Cecilia Bermúdez & Carlos D. Dabús & Germán H. González, 2015. "Reexamining the link between instability and growth in Latin America: A dynamic panel data estimation using k-median clusters," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 52(1), pages 1-23, May.
    8. Lucia Ramirez & Gabriela Mordecki, 2014. "Investment, growth and employment: VECM for Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 14-07, Instituto de Economía - IECON.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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