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Trade Policy Making in a Model of Legislative Bargaining

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  • Levent Celik
  • Bilgehan Karabay
  • John McLaren

Abstract

In democracies, trade policy is the result of interactions among many agents with different agendas. In accordance with this observation, we construct a dynamic model of legislative trade policy-making in the realm of distributive politics. An economy consists of different sectors, each of which is concentrated in one or more electoral districts. Each district is represented by a legislator in the Congress. Legislative process is modeled as a multilateral sequential bargaining game à la Baron and Ferejohn (1989). Some surprising results emerge: bargaining can be welfare-worsening for all participants; legislators may vote for bills that make their constituents worse off; identical industries will receive very different levels of tariff. The results pose a challenge to empirical work, since equilibrium trade policy is a function not only of economic fundamentals but also of political variables at the time of congressional negotiations – some of them random realizations of mixed bargaining strategies.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 17262.

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Date of creation: Jul 2011
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17262

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  1. Levent Celik & Bilgehan Karabay & John McLaren, 2011. "Trade Policy Making in a Model of Legislative Bargaining," NBER Working Papers 17262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Cited by:
  1. Celik, Levent & Karabay, Bilgehan & McLaren, John, 2013. "Trade policy-making in a model of legislative bargaining," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 179-190.
  2. Levent Celik & Bilgehan Karabay & John McLaren, 2012. "When is it Optimal to Delegate: The Theory of Fast-track Authority," NBER Working Papers 17810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Levent Celik & Bilgehan Karabay, 2011. "A Note on Equilibrium Uniqueness in the Baron-Ferejohn Model," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp440, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economic Institute, Prague.

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