How Well Are Social Security Recipients Protected from Inflation?
AbstractSocial Security is widely believed to protect its recipients from inflation because benefits are indexed to the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). However, the CPI-W may not accurately reflect the experience of retirees for two reasons. First, retirees generally have higher medical expenses than workers, and medical costs, in recent years, have tended to rise faster than the prices of other goods. Second, even if medical costs did not rise faster than the prices of other goods, as retirees aged, their medical spending would still tend to increase as a share of income; that is, each cohort of retirees would still see a decline in the real income available for non-medical spending. We show that, for the 1918 birth cohort, Social Security benefits net of average out-of-pocket medical expenses have declined relative to a price index for non-medical goods by around 20 percent for men, and by around 27 percent for women. We explore alternative options for indexing Social Security benefits and discuss the impact of these alternatives on Social Security’s long-term finances.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 16212.
Date of creation: Jul 2010
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Publication status: published as Gopi Shah Goda, John B. Shoven, Sita Nataraj Slavov. "How Well Are Social Security Recipients Protected from Inflation?," in David A. Wise, editor, "Investigations in the Economics of Aging" University of Chicago Press (2012)
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Other versions of this item:
- Goda, Gopi Shah & Shoven, John B. & Slavov, Sita Nataraj, 2011. "How Well Are Social Security Recipients Protected From Inflation?," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association, vol. 64(2), pages 429-49, June Cita.
- Gopi Shah Goda & John B. Shoven & Sita Nataraj Slavov, 2011. "How Well Are Social Security Recipients Protected from Inflation?," NBER Chapters, in: Investigations in the Economics of Aging, pages 119-139 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gopi Shah Goda & John Shoven & Sita Slavov, 2009. "How Well Are Social Security Recipients Protected From Inflation?," Discussion Papers 08-059, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
- J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
- J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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