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Capital Flows, Investment, and Exchange Rates

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Author Info
Alan C. Stockman
Lars E.O. Svensson

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Abstract

This paper incorporates international capital flows into a two-country, monetary-general-equilibrium model of asset prices with investment and production. We use the model to calculate theoretical covariances between investment, the current account, the exchange rate, and the terms of trade.These covariances depend upon the coefficient of relative risk-aversion, the magnitude and sign of a country's net international indebtedness, other properties of tastes and technologies, and the stochastic processes on disturbances to productivity and monetary growth rates. International capital flows arise from changes in world wealth and its relative composition in foreign and domestic assets. The dynamic, stochastic relations between capital flows, exchange rates, investment, and the terms of trade are critically dependent on optimal portfolio allocations and the stochastic behavior of asset prices on international financial markets.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1598.

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Date of creation: Aug 1987
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1598

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Long, John B, Jr & Plosser, Charles I, 1983. "Real Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(1), pages 39-69, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Stockman, Alan C, 1980. "A Theory of Exchange Rate Determination," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(4), pages 673-98, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Torsten Persson & Lars E.O. Svensson, 1983. "Current Account Dynamics and the Terms of Trade: Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Two Generations Later," NBER Working Papers 1129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Branson, William H. & Henderson, Dale W., 1985. "The specification and influence of asset markets," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 15, pages 749-805 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Adler, Michael & Dumas, Bernard, 1983. " International Portfolio Choice and Corporation Finance: A Synthesis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 925-84, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1978. "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1429-45, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan C. Stockman, 1985. "Exchange-Rate Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 1230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. John A. Tatom, 1994. "Currency appreciation and "deindustrialization": a European perspective," Working Papers 1992-006, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Earl L. Grinols & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 1991. "Stochastic Equilibrium and Exchange Rate Determination in a Small Open Economy with Risk Averse Optimizing Agents," NBER Working Papers 3651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. John E. Floyd, 1995. "Uncovered Interest Parity: A Further Reconsideration," Working Papers floyd-95-01, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. David K. Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe & Finn E. Kydland, 1992. "Relative price movements in dynamic general equilibrium models of international trade," Working Paper 9213, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Nouriel Roubini, 1988. "Current Account and Budget Deficits in an Intertemporal Model of Consumption and Taxation Smoothing. A Solution to the "Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle"?," NBER Working Papers 2773, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Jeremy Greenwood & Stephen D. Williamson, 1988. "International financial intermediation and aggregate fluctuations under alternative exchange rate regimes," Staff Report 112, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Julius Horvath & Magda Kandil & Subhash C. Sharma, 1996. "On the European Monetary System: The Spillover Effects of German Shocks and Disinflation," Macroeconomics 9605001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Alan C. Stockman & Alejandro Hernandez D., 1989. "Exchange Controls, Capital Controls, and International Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 1755, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Vittorio Grilli & Nouriel Roubini, 1990. "Financial Integration, Liquidity and Exchange Rates," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 939, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. David Backus & Patrick J. Kehoe & Finn E. Kydland, 1992. "Dynamics of the Trade Balance and the Terms of Trade: The S-Curve," NBER Working Papers 4242, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. Markus Mueller & Ulrich K. Schittko, 1999. "Transmission of Policy Shocks in a Monetary Asset-Pricing Model," Discussion Paper Series 188, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. repec:fip:fedreq:y:1987:i:mar:p:12-30:n:v.73no.2 is not listed on IDEAS
  13. Robert J. Hodrick, 1989. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 2429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  14. Royuela, Vicente, 2000. "International Real Business Cycles: Can A Two Countries Two Sectors Model Solve The Quantity Anomaly?," ERSA conference papers ersa00p203, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  15. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1990. "Trade in Nominal Assets: Monetary Policy, and Price Level and Exchange Rate Risk," NBER Working Papers 2417, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  16. David Backus & Patrick Kehoe & Finn Kydland, 1992. "Dynamics of the trade balance and the terms of trade: the J-curve revisited," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 65, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  17. Maurice Obstfeld, 2004. "External Adjustment," NBER Working Papers 10843, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  18. Bernard Dumas, 1988. "Pricing Physical Assets Internationally," NBER Working Papers 2569, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Carol L. Osler, 1988. "Terms of Trade and the Transmission of Output Shocks in a Rational Expectations Model," NBER Working Papers 2681, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1989. "Trade in Risky Assets," NBER Working Papers 2403, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  21. Eric van Wincoop & Jane Marrinan, 1996. "Public and Private Saving and Investment," Economics Working Papers 172, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  22. Cristino R. Arroyo, 1994. "On The Robustness Of Forward Market Efficiency In Consumption-Based Models Of Exchange Rates," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 95-114, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  23. John E. Floyd, 1998. "Monetary Policy and the Real Exchange Rate: Some Evidence," Working Papers floyd-98-02, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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