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International Finance and Growth in Developing Countries: What Have We Learned?

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  • Maurice Obstfeld

Abstract

Despite an abundance of cross-section, panel, and event studies, there is strikingly little convincing documentation of direct positive impacts of financial opening on the economic welfare levels or growth rates of developing countries. The econometric difficulties are similar to those that bedevil the literature on trade openness and growth, though if anything, they are more severe in the context of finance. There is also little systematic evidence that financial opening raises welfare indirectly by promoting collateral reforms of economic institutions or policies. At the same time, opening the financial account does appear to raise the frequency and severity of economic crises. Nonetheless, developing countries have moved over time in the direction of further financial openness. A plausible explanation is that financial development is a concomitant of economic growth, and a growing financial sector in an economy open to trade cannot long be insulated from cross-border financial flows. This survey discusses the policy framework in which financial globalization is most likely to prove beneficial. The reforms developing countries need to institute to make their economies safe for international asset trade are the same ones they need so as to curtail the power of entrenched economic interests and liberate the economy's productive potential.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 14691.

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Date of creation: Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:14691

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Cited by:
  1. Barry Eichengreen, 2009. "The financial crisis and global policy reforms," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  2. Philip R. Lane IIIS, Trinity College Dublin and CEPR, 2009. "Innovation and Financial Globalisation," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp299, IIIS.
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  5. Albert, Jose Ramon G. & Schou-Zibell, Lotte & Song, Lei Lei, 2012. "A Macroprudential Framework for Monitoring and Examining Financial Soundness," Discussion Papers DP 2012-22, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
  6. Costel NISTOR & Paolo PANICO & Rozalia NISTOR & Mihaela-Carmen MUNTEAN, 2010. "The American Mortgage Crisis Implications on the international economics evolutions," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 299-310.
  7. Schou-Zibell, Lotte & Albert, Jose Ramon & Song, Lei Lei, 2010. "A Macroprudential Framework for Monitoring and Examining Financial Soundness," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 43, Asian Development Bank.
  8. Selim Elekdag & M. Ayhan Kose & Roberto Cardarelli, 2009. "Capital Inflows: Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses," IMF Working Papers 09/40, International Monetary Fund.
  9. Gianni De Nicolò & Luciana Juvenal, 2012. "Financial Integration, Globalization, and Real Activity," CESifo Working Paper Series 3737, CESifo Group Munich.
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