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China's FDI and Non-FDI Economies and the Sustainability of Future High Chinese Growth

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John Whalley
Xian Xin

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Abstract

This paper presents assesses of the contribution of inward FDI to China%u2019s recent rapid economic growth using a two stage growth accounting approach. Recent econometric literature focuses on testing whether Chinese growth depends on inward FDI rather than measuring the contribution. Foreign Invested Enterprises (FIEs), often (but not exclusively) are joint ventures between foreign companies and Chinese enterprises, and can be thought of as forming a distinctive subpart of the Chinese economy. These enterprises account for over 50% of China%u2019s exports and 60% of China%u2019s imports. Their share in Chinese GDP has been over 20% in the last two years, but they employ only 3% of the workforce, since their average labor productivity exceeds that of Non-FIEs by around 9:1. Their production is more heavily for export rather than the domestic market because FIEs provide access to both distribution systems abroad and product design for export markets. Our decomposition results indicate that China%u2019s FIEs may have contributed over 40% of China%u2019s economic growth in 2003 and 2004, and without this inward FDI, China%u2019s overall GDP growth rate could have been around 3.4 percentage points lower. We suggest that the sustainability of both China%u2019 export and overall economic growth may be questionable if inward FDI plateaus in the future.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 12249.

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Date of creation: May 2006
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12249

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Rod Tyers & Yongxiang Bu & Ian Bain, 2006. "China’s Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate: A Counterfactual Analysis," ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers 2006-466, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Yao Li & John Whalley & Shunming Zhang & Xiliang Zhao, 2008. "The Higher Educational Transformation of China and Its Global Implications," NBER Working Papers 13849, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. James Laurenceson & Kam Ki Tang, . "The FDI-Income Growth Nexus: a review of the Chinese experience," EAERG Discussion Paper Series 0905, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  4. Wendy Dobson & Paul R. Masson, 2007. "Will the Renminbi Become a World Currency?," Working Papers Series 10, Institute for International Business, Joseph L. Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, revised Dec 2007. [Downloadable!]
  5. Lindbeck, Assar, 2006. "Economic-Social Interaction during China’s Transition," Working Paper Series 680, Research Institute of Industrial Economics. [Downloadable!]
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