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FDI and Trade -- Two Way Linkages?

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Author Info
Joshua Aizenman
Ilan Noy

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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the intertemporal linkages between FDI and disaggregated measures of international trade. We outline a model exemplifying some of these linkages, describe several methods for investigating two-way feedbacks between various categories of trade, and apply them to the recent experience of developing countries. After controlling for other macroeconomic and institutional effects, we find that the strongest feedback between the sub-accounts is between FDI and manufacturing trade. More precisely, applying Geweke (1982)%u2019s decomposition method, we find that most of the linear feedback between trade and FDI (81%) can be accounted for by Granger-causality from FDI gross flows to trade openness (50%) and from trade to FDI (31%). The rest of the total linear feedback is attributable to simultaneous correlation between the two annual series.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 11403.

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Date of creation: Jun 2005
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11403

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation

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  1. Yelena Kalyuzhnova & Michael Kaser, 2006. "Prudential Management of Hydrocarbon Revenues in Resource-rich Transition Economies," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 167-187, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jarko Fidrmuc & Neil Foster & Johann Scharler, 2007. "Labour Market Rigidities, Financial Integration and International Risk Sharing in the OECD," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  3. Fragkiskos Filippaios & Constantina Kottaridi, 2008. "Complements or Substitutes? New Theoretical Considerations and Empirical Evidence on the Imports and FDI Relationship," Working Papers 0026, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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