Peter Englund Ake Gunnelin Patric H. Hendershott Bo Soderberg
Abstract
Markets for property space adjust only gradually because tenants are constrained by long-term leases and landlords and tenants face transactions and information costs. Not only do rents adjust slowly, but space occupancy may differ from demand at current rent, giving rise to %u201Chidden vacancies%u201D. We estimate the joint dynamics of office rents and vacancies using an error-correction model using a new lease rent series for Stockholm offices 19772002 estimated on 2,500 leases. It takes 5-10 years for the market to adjust to a shock. In a model simulation of a positive employment shock open vacancies fall from the natural level of 7 percent to below 4 percent, while hidden vacancies increase by about as much. Most of the variation in hidden vacancies over time is explained by the difference between demand at current and average rent on existing leases, which we calculate using data on contract lease length.
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
11345.
Length: Date of creation: May 2005 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11345
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Find related papers by JEL classification: R1 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics R0 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Patric H. Hendershott & Colin M. Lizieri & George A. Matysiak, 1999.
"The Workings of the London Office Market,"
Real Estate Economics,
American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 27(2), pages 365-387.
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