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Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance

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Jerry R. Green
Abstract

A two-period lifetime overlapping generations growth model is used to evaluate the possibility that social insurance can effectively offset economic risks associated with uncertainty about the rate of population growth. Crude measures of the seriousness of this type of risk in the current United States situation are presented. Sufficient conditions on the structure of the economy for such intergenerational risk pooling to be mutually beneficial to all members of society are derived. Although it is logically possible to satisfy them1 we argue that they are unlikely to be realized empirically in an economy similar to that of the United States. Because of this failure, some more complex types of policy options are also discussed.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 0215.

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Date of creation: Nov 1977
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:0215

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  1. Antonio Rangel & Richard Zeckhauser, 1999. "Can Market and Voting Institutions Generate Optimal Intergenerational Risk Sharing?," NBER Working Papers 6949, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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