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Cost-Benefit Analysis Under Uncertainty

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Author Info
David A. Graham
Abstract

In what follows we provide a conceptually correct procedure for determining whether a risky project passes the "potential Pareto improvement" welfare criterion which forms the normative basis of cost-benefit analysis. In this approach the role of secondary markets in providing opportunities for redistributing risk is made transparent and the modifications necessary when such markets do not exist are suggested.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 0194.

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Date of creation: Aug 1977
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:0194

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  1. Cicchetti, Charles J & Freeman, A Myrick, III, 1971. "Option Demand and Consumer Surplus: Further Comment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 528-39, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Cook, Philip J & Graham, Daniel A, 1977. "The Demand for Insurance and Protection: The Case of Irreplaceable Commodities," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 91(1), pages 143-56, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Malinvaud, E, 1973. "Markets for an Exchange Economy with Individual Risks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(3), pages 383-410, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ross, Stephen A, 1976. "Options and Efficiency," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 90(1), pages 75-89, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Lindsay, Cotton M, 1969. "Option Demand and Consumer's Surplus," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 83(2), pages 344-46, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Arrow, Kenneth J & Lind, Robert C, 1970. "Uncertainty and the Evaluation of Public Investment Decisions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 60(3), pages 364-78, June.
  7. Schmalensee, Richard, 1972. "Option Demand and Consumer's Surplus: Valuing Price Changes under Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(5), pages 813-24, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Handa, Jagdish, 1977. "Risk, Probabilities, and a New Theory of Cardinal Utility," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(1), pages 97-122, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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