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A Time Series Model with Periodic Stochastic Regime Switching Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Ghysels, E.
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Paper provided by Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ in its series Cahiers de recherche with number
9314.
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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: 1993Date of revision:
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Keywords: time series ; Other versions of this item:
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Phillips, Kerk L., 1991.
"A two-country model of stochastic output with changes in regime ,"
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Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982.
"Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-54, July.
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John Geweke, 1992.
"Priors for macroeconomic time series and their application ,"
Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics
64, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
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Other versions: Albert, James H & Chib, Siddhartha, 1993.
"Bayes Inference via Gibbs Sampling of Autoregressive Time Series Subject to Markov Mean and Variance Shifts ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, January.
Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990.
"Seasonal integration and cointegration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Hyllerberg, S. & Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. & Yoo, B.S., 1988.
"Seasonal Integration And Cointegration ,"
Papers
0-88-2, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. & Yoo, B.S., 1988.
"Seasonal, Integration And Cointegration ,"
Papers
6-88-2, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
Ghysels, E., 1991.
"On Scoring Asymmetric Periodic Probability Models of Turning-Point Forecasts ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9130, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
Other versions: Hamilton, James D, 1991.
"A Quasi-Bayesian Approach to Estimating Parameters for Mixtures of Normal Distributions ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 9(1), pages 27-39, January.
Todd, Richard M., 1990.
"Periodic linear-quadratic methods for modeling seasonality ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 14(3-4), pages 763-795, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ghysels, E., 1990.
"On the Economic and Econometrics of Seasonality ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9028, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
Other versions: Ghysels, Eric & Perron, Pierre, 1993.
"The effect of seasonal adjustment filters on tests for a unit root ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 57-98.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Bell, William R & Hillmer, Steven C, 1984.
"Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 2(4), pages 291-320, October.
Engel, Charles & Hamilton, James D, 1990.
"Long Swings in the Dollar: Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It? ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 80(4), pages 689-713, September.
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Hans Franses, Philip, 1992.
"Testing for seasonality ,"
Economics Letters ,
Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 259-262, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Osborn, Denise R., 1991.
"The implications of periodically varying coefficients for seasonal time-series processes ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 373-384, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hamilton, James D, 1989.
"A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-84, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ghysels, E. & Lee, H.S. & Siklos, P.L., 1992.
"On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and Its Consequences: an Empirical Investigation with U.S. Data ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9237, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Ghysels, E. & Lee, H.S. & Siklos, P.L., 1992.
"On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and Its Consequences: An Empirical Investigation With U.S. Data ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9237, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
Ghysels, E. & Lee, H.S. & Siklos, P.L., 1992.
"On the (MIS)Specification of Seasonality and Its Consequences : An Empirical Investigation with U.S. Data ,"
Working Papers
92008, Wilfrid Laurier University, Department of Economics.
Ghysels, Eric & Lee, Hahn S & Siklos, Pierre L, 1993.
"On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and Its Consequences: An Empirical Investigation with U.S. Data ,"
Empirical Economics ,
Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 747-60.
Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1990.
"Recursive Linear Models of Dynamic Economies ,"
NBER Working Papers
3479, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Ghysels, Eric, 1994.
"On the Periodic Structure of the Business Cycle ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(3), pages 289-98, July.
Other versions: Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1987.
"Hypothesis Testing with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 28(3), pages 777-87, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Osborn, Denise R & Smith, Jeremy P, 1989.
"The Performance of Periodic Autoregressive Models in Forecasting Seasonal U. K. Consumption ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 7(1), pages 117-27, January.
Hamilton, James D., 1990.
"Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 39-70.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Osborn, Denise R, 1988.
"Seasonality and Habit Persistence in a Life Cycle Model of Consumptio n ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(4), pages 255-66, October-D.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hansen, Lars Peter & Sargent, Thomas J., 1993.
"Seasonality and approximation errors in rational expectations models ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 21-55.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Eric Ghysels & Robert E. McCulloch & Ruey S. Tsay, 1994.
"Bayesian Inference for Periodic Regime-Switching Models ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
94s-15, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey, 1994.
"Time-Varying World Market Integration ,"
NBER Working Papers
4843, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Tim Bollerslev & Eric Ghysels, 1994.
"On Periodic Autogressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
94s-03, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!]
Marcelle Chauvet, 2000.
"Leading Indicators of Inflation for Brazil ,"
Working Papers Series
7, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
[Downloadable!]
Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 1997.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? ,"
Research Paper
9735, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 1998.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? ,"
Staff Reports
41, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!] Margaret McConnell & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 2000.
"Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
[Downloadable!] Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2000.
"Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's? ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1464-1476, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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