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Asymptotic Distribution of a Simple Linear Estimator for VARMA Models in Echelon Form

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  • DUFOUR, Jean-Marie
  • JOUINI, Tarek

Abstract

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of a simple two-stage (Hannan-Rissanen-type) linear estimator for stationary invertible vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models in the echelon form representation. General conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are given. A consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the estimator is also provided, so that tests and confidence intervals can easily be constructed.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 10-2005.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mtl:montec:10-2005

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Keywords: time series; VARMA; stationary; invertible; echelon form; estimation; asymptotic normality; bootstrap; Hannan-Rissanen;

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References

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  1. D.S. Poskitt, . "Specification of echelon form VARMA models," Statistic und Oekonometrie 9305, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  2. Bartel, Holger & Lütkepohl, Helmut, 1997. "Estimating the Kronecker indices of cointegrated echelon form VARMA models," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,2, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  3. Tsay, Ruey S, 1989. "Parsimonious Parameterization of Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 7(3), pages 327-41, July.
  4. Paparoditis, Efstathios, 1996. "Bootstrapping Autoregressive and Moving Average Parameter Estimates of Infinite Order Vector Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 277-296, May.
  5. Lutkepohl, Helmut & Claessen, Holger, 1997. "Analysis of cointegrated VARMA processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 223-239, October.
  6. Boudjellaba, B. & Dufour, J.-M. & Roy, R., 1991. "Testing Causality Between Two Vextors in Multivariate Arma Models," Cahiers de recherche 9119, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
  7. Boudjellaba, Hafida & Dufour, Jean-Marie & Roy, Roch, 1994. "Simplified conditions for noncausality between vectors in multivariate ARMA models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 271-287, July.
  8. Koreisha, Sergio G & Pukkila, Tarmo, 1995. "A Comparison between Different Order-Determination Criteria for Identification of ARIMA Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(1), pages 127-31, January.
  9. Lewis, Richard & Reinsel, Gregory C., 1985. "Prediction of multivariate time series by autoregressive model fitting," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 393-411, June.
  10. repec:wop:humbsf:1995-54 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Hannan, E J, 1976. "The Identification and Parameterization of ARMAX and State Space Forms," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(4), pages 713-23, July.
  12. D. Poskitt & H. Lütkepohl, 1995. "Consistent Specification of Cointegrated Autoregressive Moving-Average Systems," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1995,54, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  13. Deistler, M. & Hannan, E. J., 1981. "Some properties of the parameterization of ARMA systems with unknown order," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 474-484, December.
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Cited by:
  1. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2010. "Short and long run causality measures: Theory and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 42-58, January.
  2. Melard, Guy & Roy, Roch & Saidi, Abdessamad, 2006. "Exact maximum likelihood estimation of structured or unit root multivariate time series models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(11), pages 2958-2986, July.
  3. Jean-Marie Dufour & Tarek Jouini, 2011. "Asymptotic Distributions for Some Quasi-Efficient Estimators in Echelon VARMA Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2011s-25, CIRANO.
  4. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Jouini, Tarek, 2014. "Asymptotic distributions for quasi-efficient estimators in echelon VARMA models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 69-86.

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