The Determinants of University Dropouts: a Sequential Decision Model with Selectivity Bias
AbstractIn this paper, we study the determinants of university dropouts with a longitudinal data set on students' enrollments at the University of Montreal. With a bivariate probit model with selectivity bias, the variables explaining persistence and dropouts are related to the information gathered on the student about his or her interests and abilities. The average number of students in first-year compulsory courses is also a determining factor. These results support a simple version of Manski's model of schooling as an experimentation process and the models of sequential decisions of Altonji, Oosterbeek and Hartog et al. Also supported is the idea of person-environment fit, pioneered by Tinto. Cette Ã©tude examine les dÃ©terminants des abandons scolaires Ã l'aide de donnÃ©es longitudinales de l'UniversitÃ© de MontrÃ©al. Un modÃ¨le probit bivariÃ© avec biais de sÃ©lection montre que les variables expliquant la persÃ©vÃ©rance et l'abandon sont reliÃ©es Ã l'information acquise par l'Ã©tudiant concernant ses intÃ©rÃªts et ses habiletÃ©s. Le nombre moyen d'Ã©tudiants dans les cours obligatoires en premiÃ¨re annÃ©e est Ã©galement un facteur dÃ©terminant. Les rÃ©sultats obtenus supportent une version simple du modÃ¨le d'expÃ©rimentation scolaire de Manski et des modÃ¨les de dÃ©cisions sÃ©quentielles d'Altonji, d'Oosterbeek et d'Hartog et al., sans pour autant rejeter l'approche de l'adÃ©quation entre l'environnement et la personne proposÃ©e par Tinto.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 9558.
Date of creation: 1995
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Postal: CP 6128, Succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal, Québec, H3C 3J7
Phone: (514) 343-6540
Fax: (514) 343-5831
Web page: http://www.sceco.umontreal.ca
More information through EDIRC
Other versions of this item:
- Rachel Houle & Sophie Mahseredjian & Claude Montmarquette, 1996. "The Determinants of University Dropouts : A Sequential Decision Model with Selectivity Bias," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-04, CIRANO.
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Steven F. Venti & David A. Wise, 1983.
"Test Scores, Educational Opportunities, and Individual Choice,"
NBER Working Papers
0710, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Venti, Steven F. & Wise, David A., 1982. "Test scores, educational opportunities, and individual choice," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 35-63, June.
- Grubb, W. Norton, 1989. "Dropouts, spells of time, and credits in postsecondary education: Evidence from longitudinal surveys," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 49-67, February.
- Altonji, Joseph G, 1993.
"The Demand for and Return to Education When Education Outcomes Are Uncertain,"
Journal of Labor Economics,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 11(1), pages 48-83, January.
- Joseph G. Altonji, 1991. "The Demand for and Return to Education When Education Outcomes are Uncertain," NBER Working Papers 3714, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hartog, Joop & Pfann, Gerard & Ridder, Geert, 1989. "(Non-)graduation and the earnings function : An inquiry on self-selection," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1373-1395, September.
- Manski, Charles F., 1989. "Schooling as experimentation: a reappraisal of the postsecondary dropout phenomenon," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 305-312, August.
- Giorgio Di Pietro, 2004. "The determinants of university dropout in Italy: a bivariate probability model with sample selection," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 187-191.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Sharon BREWER).
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.