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International Transmission of the Business Cycle in a Multi-Sector Model

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Author Info
AMBLER, Steve
CARDIA, Emanuela
ZIMMERMANN, Christian

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Abstract

Multi-country models have not been very successful in replicating important features of the international transmission of business cycles. Standard models predict cross-country correlations of output and consumption which are respectively too low and too high. In this paper, we build a multi-country model of the business cycle with multiple sectors in order to analyze the role of sectoral shocks in the international transmission of the business cycle. We find that a model with multiple sectors generates a higher cross-country correlation of output than standard one-sector models, and a lower cross-country correlation of consumption. In addition, it predicts cross-country correlations of employment and investment that are closer to the data than the standard model. We also analyze the relative effects of multiple sectors, trade in intermediate goods, imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign goods, home preference, capital adjustment costs, and capital depreciation on the international transmission of the business cycle.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 2000-06.

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Length: 32 pages
Date of creation: 2000
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Handle: RePEc:mtl:montde:2000-06

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Related research
Keywords: on economy macroeconomics; business cycles; sectoral shocks;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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  1. Canadian Macro Study Group
Cited by:
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  1. M. Ayhan Kose & Kei-Mu Yi, 2005. "Can the standard international business cycle model explain the relation between trade and comovement?," Working Papers 05-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Alejandro Cuñat & Marco Maffezzoli, . "Heckscher-Ohlin Business Cycles," Working Papers 210, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Peijie Wang, 2008. "International Business Cycle Coherence and Phases- A spectral analysis of output fluctuations of G7," Working Papers 2008-FIN-01, IESEG School of Management. [Downloadable!]
  4. M. Ayhan Kose & Kei-Mu Yi, 2002. "The trade comovement problem in international macroeconomics," Staff Reports 155, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jean-Olivier Hairault, 2002. "Labor-Market Search and International Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 5(3), pages 535-558, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. M. Ayhan Kose & Kei-Mu Yi, 2001. "International Trade and Business Cycles: Is Vertical Specialization the Missing Link?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 371-375, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Kevin Huang, 2006. "Specific factors meet intermediate inputs: implications for the persistence problem," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(3), pages 483-507, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Ariel Burstein & Christopher Johann Kurz & Linda Tesar, 2004. "Trade, Production Sharing and the International Transmission of Business Cycles," Working Papers 522, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu, 2000. "Vertical International Trade as a Monetary Transmission Mechanism in an Open Economy," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 107, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Munadi, Ernawati & Safa, Mohammad Samaun, 2005. "Business cycle transmission between the USA and Indonesia: A vector error correction model," MPRA Paper 10755, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  11. Jean Imbs, 2003. "Trade, Finance, Specialization, and Synchronization," IMF Working Papers 03/81, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. Lena Suchanek, 2009. "Labour Shares and the Role of Capital and Labour Market Imperfections," Discussion Papers 09-2, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  13. Ester Faia, 2004. "Monetary policy in a world with different financial systems," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 28, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Kevin X. D. Huang, 2005. "Specific factors meet intermediate inputs: implications for strategic complementarities and persistence," Working Papers 04-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
  15. Mario J. Crucini & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok, 2008. "What Are the Driving Forces of International Business Cycles?," NBER Working Papers 14380, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Mario J. Crucini, 2006. "International Real Business Cycles," Working Papers 0617, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University. [Downloadable!]
  17. Royuela, Vicente, 2000. "International Real Business Cycles: Can A Two Countries Two Sectors Model Solve The Quantity Anomaly?," ERSA conference papers ersa00p203, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  18. Kwanho Shin & Yunjong Wang, 2005. "The Impact of Trade Integration on Business Cycle Co-Movements in Europe," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 104-123, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Jean IMBS, 1998. "Co-Fluctuations," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) 9819, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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