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Cotton in Zambia: ALTERNATIVE INSTRUMENTS FOR ENSURING FOOD SECURITY AND PRICE STABILITY IN ZAMBIA

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Author Info
Paul A. Dorosh
Simon Dradri
Steven Haggblade

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Abstract

Given heavy dependence on rainfed maize production, Zambia must routinely cope with pronounced production and consumption volatility in their primary food staple. Typical policy responses include increased food aid flows, government commercial imports and stock releases, and tight controls on private sector trade. This paper examines recent experience in Zambia, using a simple economic model to assess the likely impact of maize production shocks on the domestic maize price and on staple food consumption under alternative policy regimes. In addition to an array of public policy instruments, the analysis evaluates the quantitative impact of two key private sector responses in moderating food consumption volatility— private cross-border maize trade and consumer substitution of an alternate food staple (cassava) for maize. The analysis suggests that, given a favorable policy environment, private imports and increased cassava consumption together could fill roughly two-thirds of the maize consumption shortfall facing vulnerable households during drought years.

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Paper provided by Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University in its series International Development Collaborative Working Papers with number ZM-FSRP-WP-29.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:msu:icpwrk:zm-fsrp-wp-029

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Related research
Keywords: food security; policy; Zambia; Africa; price;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Alderman, Harold & del Ninno, Carlo, 1999. "Poverty Issues for Zero Rating VAT in South Africa," Journal of African Economies, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(2), pages 182-208, July.
  2. Anthony Mwanaumo & T.S. Jayne & Ballard Zulu & Julius Shawa & Green Mbozi & Steven Haggblade & Misheck Nyembe, 2005. "Zambia's 2005 Maize Import and Marketing Experiences: By Lessons and Implications," International Development Collaborative Policy Briefs ZM-FSRP-PB-11, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  3. T.S. Jayne & J. Govereh & P. Chilonda & N. Mason & A. Chapoto & H. Haantuba, 2007. "Trends In Agricultural And Rural Development Indicators In Zambia," International Development Collaborative Working Papers ZM-FSRP-WP-24, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  4. J.J. Nijhoff & Gelson Tembo & Jim Shaffer & T.S. Jayne & Julius Shawa, 2003. "How Will the Proposed Crop Marketing Authority Affect Food Market Performance in Zambia: An Ex Ante Assessment to Guide Government Deliberation," International Development Collaborative Working Papers ZM-FSRP-WP-07, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  5. Steven Haggblade, 2006. "Maize Price Projections for Zambia's 2006/07 Marketing Season," International Development Collaborative Policy Briefs ZM-FSRP-PB-15, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  6. J.J. Nijhoff & T.S. Jayne & Billy Mwiinga & Jim Shaffer, 2002. "Markets Need Predictable Government Actions to Function Effectively: The Case of Importing Maize in Times of Deficit," International Development Collaborative Policy Briefs ZM-FSRP-PB-06, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  7. David Tschirley & Anne Marie del Castillo, 2006. "Local and Regional Food Aid Procurement: an Assessment of Experience in Africa and Elements of Good Donor Practice," International Development Policy Syntheses 79, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  8. Ballard Zulu & J.J. Nijhoff & T.S. Jayne & Asfaw Negassa, 2000. "Is the Glass Half-empty or Half Full? An Analysis of Agricultural Production Trends in Zambia," International Development Collaborative Policy Briefs ZM-FSRP-PB-02, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
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  9. T. S. Jayne & Mulinge Mukumbu & Munhamo Chisvo & David Tschirley & Michael T. Weber & Ballard Zulu & Robert Johansson & Paula Santos & David Soroko, 1999. "Successes and Challenges of Food Market Reform: Experiences from Kenya, Mozambique, Zambia, and Zimbabwe," International Development Working Papers 72, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Julie A. Howard & Catherine Mungoma, 1996. "Zambia's Stop-And-Go Revolution: The Impact of Policies and Organizations on the Development and Spread of Maize Technology," International Development Working Papers 61, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan State University. [Downloadable!]
  11. Byerlee, Derek & Jayne, T.S. & Myers, Robert J., 2006. "Managing food price risks and instability in a liberalizing market environment: Overview and policy options," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 275-287, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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