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Semiparametric Model Selection in Panel Data Models with Deterministic Trends and Cross-Sectional Dependence

Author

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  • Jia Chen
  • Jiti Gao

Abstract

In this paper, we consider a model selection issue in semiparametric panel data models with fixed effects. The modelling framework under investigation can accommodate both nonlinear deterministic trends and cross-sectional dependence. And we consider the so-called "large panels" where both the time series and cross sectional sizes are very large. A penalised profile least squares method with first-stage local linear smoothing is developed to select the significant covariates and estimate the regression coefficients simultaneously. The convergence rate and the oracle property of the resulting semiparametric estimator are established by the joint limit approach. The developed semiparametric model selection methodology is illustrated by two Monte-Carlo simulation studies, where we compare the performance in model selection and estimation of three penalties, i.e., the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD), and the minimax concave penalty (MCP).

Suggested Citation

  • Jia Chen & Jiti Gao, 2014. "Semiparametric Model Selection in Panel Data Models with Deterministic Trends and Cross-Sectional Dependence," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/14, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2014-15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jia Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li, 2009. "A New Diagnostic Test for Cross-Section Independence in Nonparametric Panel Data Model," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2009-16, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    2. Kock, Anders Bredahl, 2013. "Oracle Efficient Variable Selection In Random And Fixed Effects Panel Data Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(1), pages 115-152, February.
    3. Jiti Gao & Kim Hawthorne, 2006. "Semiparametric estimation and testing of the trend of temperature series," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 9(2), pages 332-355, July.
    4. Degui Li & Jia Chen & Jiti Gao, 2011. "Non‐parametric time‐varying coefficient panel data models with fixed effects," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(3), pages 387-408, October.
    5. Cai, Zongwu & Li, Qi, 2008. "Nonparametric Estimation Of Varying Coefficient Dynamic Panel Data Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(5), pages 1321-1342, October.
    6. Jianqing Fan & Runze Li, 2004. "New Estimation and Model Selection Procedures for Semiparametric Modeling in Longitudinal Data Analysis," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 99, pages 710-723, January.
    7. Fan J. & Li R., 2001. "Variable Selection via Nonconcave Penalized Likelihood and its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1348-1360, December.
    8. Chen, Jia & Gao, Jiti & Li, Degui, 2012. "Semiparametric trending panel data models with cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(1), pages 71-85.
    9. Arellano, Manuel, 2003. "Panel Data Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199245291, Decembrie.
    10. Jia Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li, 2013. "Estimation in Partially Linear Single-Index Panel Data Models With Fixed Effects," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 315-330, July.
    11. Bai, Jushan & Kao, Chihwa & Ng, Serena, 2009. "Panel cointegration with global stochastic trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 149(1), pages 82-99, April.
    12. Peter C. B. Phillips & Hyungsik R. Moon, 1999. "Linear Regression Limit Theory for Nonstationary Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(5), pages 1057-1112, September.
    13. Vidar Hjellvik & Rong Chen & Dag Tjøstheim, 2004. "Nonparametric Estimation and Testing in Panels of Intercorrelated Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(6), pages 831-872, November.
    14. Henderson, Daniel J. & Carroll, Raymond J. & Li, Qi, 2008. "Nonparametric estimation and testing of fixed effects panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 257-275, May.
    15. Claeskens,Gerda & Hjort,Nils Lid, 2008. "Model Selection and Model Averaging," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521852258.
    16. Qi Li & Jeffrey Scott Racine, 2006. "Nonparametric Econometrics: Theory and Practice," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 8355.
    17. Jushan Bai, 2009. "Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1229-1279, July.
    18. Robinson, Peter M., 2012. "Nonparametric trending regression with cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 4-14.
    19. Fan, Yali & Qin, Guoyou & Zhu, Zhongyi, 2012. "Variable selection in robust regression models for longitudinal data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 156-167.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cross-sectional dependence; fixed effects; large panel; local linear fitting; penalty function; profile likelihood; semiparametric regression.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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