Description Length Based Signal Detection in singular Spectrum Analysis
AbstractThis paper provides an information theoretic analysis of the signal-noise separation problem in Singular Spectrum Analysis. We present a signal-plus-noise model based on the Karhunen-Loève expansion and use this model to motivate the construction of a minimum description length criterion that can be employed to select both the window length and the signal. We show that under very general regularity conditions the criterion will identify the true signal dimension with probability one as the sample size increases, and will choose the smallest window length consistent with the Whitney embedding theorem. Empirical results obtained using simulated and real world data sets indicate that the asymptotic theory is reflected in observed behaviour, even in relatively small samples.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics in its series Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers with number 13/10.
Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: 24 May 2010
Date of revision:
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Postal: PO Box 11E, Monash University, Victoria 3800, Australia
Web page: http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au/depts/ebs/
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
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- D. S. Poskitt & Arivalzahan Sengarapillai, 2009.
"Description Length and Dimensionality Reduction in Functional Data Analysis,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
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- Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Zhigljavsky, Anatoly, 2009. "Forecasting European industrial production with singular spectrum analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 103-118.
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- Hassani, Hossein, 2007. "Singular Spectrum Analysis: Methodology and Comparison," MPRA Paper 4991, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Md Atikur Rahman Khan & D. S. Poskitt, 2013.
"Moment tests for window length selection in singular spectrum analysis of short– and long–memory processes,"
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Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(2), pages 141-155, 03.
- Md Atikur Rahman Khan & D.S. Poskitt, 2011. "Moment Tests for Window Length Selection in Singular Spectrum Analysis of Short- and Long-Memory Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Md Atikur Rahman Khan & D.S. Poskitt, 2011. "Window Length Selection and Signal-Noise Separation and Reconstruction in Singular Spectrum Analysis," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 23/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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