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Trade, demand spillovers, and industrialization : the emerging global middle class in perspective

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  • Alain Desdoigts

    ()
    (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne)

  • Fernando Jaramillo

    ()
    (Universidad del Rosario)

Abstract

Will the integration of BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) into the global economy provide the biggest boost to the world economy since the industrial revolution ? In this paper, we investigate international demand spillovers brought about by an emerging global middle class and their impact on the international structure of production. We put forth a many-industry and two-country trade model featuring international competition, non-homothetic preferences and country-specific asymmetries in income distribution, productivity and population size. Its key characteristic is the introduction of demand complementarities propagating increasing returns across industries and national boundaries, which eventually translate into a global profit-multiplier.

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File URL: ftp://mse.univ-paris1.fr/pub/mse/cahiers2006/V06014.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1) in its series Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques with number v06014a.

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Length: 39 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2006
Date of revision: Jul 2007
Handle: RePEc:mse:wpsorb:v06014a

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Keywords: Horizontal complementarities; hierarchic preferences; world middle class; deindustrialization; trade.;

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  1. Krugman, Paul, 1980. "Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 950-59, December.
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  7. Melitz, Marc J., 2005. "When and how should infant industries be protected?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 177-196, May.
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  15. Helpman, Elhanan, 1984. "Increasing returns, imperfect markets, and trade theory," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 325-365 Elsevier.
  16. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley & Samuelson, Paul A, 1977. "Comparative Advantage, Trade, and Payments in a Ricardian Model with a Continuum of Goods," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(5), pages 823-39, December.
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Cited by:
  1. Föllmi, Reto & Hepenstrick, Christian & Zweimüller, Josef, 2011. "Non-homothetic preferences, parallel imports and the extensive margin of international trade," Economics Working Paper Series 1122, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  2. Ncube, Mthuli & Shimeles, Abebe, 2013. "The Making of Middle Class in Africa: Evidence from DHS Data," IZA Discussion Papers 7352, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

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