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Transition démographique, chômage involontaire et redistribution intergénérationnelle : simulations dans un cadre d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées

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Author Info
Mouez Fodha () (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne)
Patricia Le Maitre () (Université de Bretagne Sud)

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Abstract

Pay as-you-go social security schemes will face increasing difficulties in the next few years due to population aging, which results from both extension of life expectancy and sharp decrease in fertility rates. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate within a computable general equilibrium model the consequences of different reforms within an economy with two types of agents : unqualified ones facing unemployment and qualified ones. We show that a mixed reform with two instruments (introduction of a funded pension system and decreasing of benefits) is Pareto-improving in the long term, while damaging welfare distribution. Morerover, simultations show that the increase of the legal retirement age should be up to seven years.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne in its series Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne with number v07011.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2007
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Handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:v07011

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Web page: http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/
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Related research
Keywords: Overlapping generations model pay as-you-go pension system ageing population involuntary unemployment.

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
D91 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth - - - Intertemporal Consumer Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving

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  1. Jensen, Svend Erik Hougaard & Bo Nielsen, Soren & Pedersen, Lars Haagen & Sorensen, Peter Birch, 1996. "Tax policy, housing and the labour market: An intertemporal simulation approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 355-382, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Granier, P. & Michel, P., 1996. "Dynamique du capital et du chomage avec salaire minimum dans le modele de croissance a generations imbriquees," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 96a08, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
  3. Wendner, Ronald, 2001. "An applied dynamic general equilibrium model of environmental tax reforms and pension policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 25-50, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Bohringer, Christoph & Boeters, Stefan & Feil, Michael, 2005. "Taxation and unemployment: an applied general equilibrium approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 81-108, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. R. Magnani, 2005. "Vieillissement de la population en Italie et efficacité des réformes Amato et Dini : un modèle d’équilibre général à générations imbriquées," THEMA Working Papers 2005-12, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
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