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The narrative approach for the identification of monetary policy shocks in small open economies

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  • Eleni Angelopoulou

    (Bank of Greece and Athens University of Economics and Business)

Abstract

This paper reviews 22 years of UK monetary policy (1971-1992) using official record from the Quarterly Bulletin of the Bank of England. A definition of policy shocks, which allows for the exclusion of cases of interest rate increases, which were unrelated to the monetary policy objectives, is used. The empirical analysis shows that output displays the usual hump-shaped response after a shock to the policy indicator but adjustment to pre-shock levels is slow. Other variables also display theory-consistent behaviour. Based on this policy indicator monetary policy is found to cause very limited output fluctuation in a four year horizon. The policy indicator is found to outperform the intervention rate as a measure of policy

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File URL: http://repec.org/mmf2006/up.25534.1142856819.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Money Macro and Finance Research Group in its series Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 with number 24.

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Date of creation: 02 Feb 2007
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Handle: RePEc:mmf:mmfc06:24

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Web page: http://www.essex.ac.uk/afm/mmf/index.html

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Keywords: monetary policy shocks; narrative approach; UK;

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  1. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1972. "Expectations and the neutrality of money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 103-124, April.
  2. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 1989. "Does Monetary Policy Matter? A New Test in the Spirit of Friedman and Schwartz," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989, Volume 4, pages 121-184 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2003. "A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications," NBER Working Papers 9866, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Dow, J. C. R. & Saville, I. D., 1990. "A Critique of Monetary Policy: Theory and British Experience," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283195, Octomber.
  5. Potts, Glenn T & Luckett, Dudley G, 1978. "Policy Objectives of the Federal Reserve System," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 525-34, August.
  6. Kim, Soyoung & Roubini, Nouriel, 2000. "Exchange rate anomalies in the industrial countries: A solution with a structural VAR approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 561-586, June.
  7. Ho-Chuan (River) Huang & Chung-Hua Shen, 2002. "Estimation of Taiwan’s binary monetary policy reaction function," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 29(3), pages 222-239, September.
  8. Eichenbaum, Martin & Evans, Charles L, 1995. "Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of Shocks to Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 110(4), pages 975-1009, November.
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