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On the Sensitivity of Aggregate Productivity Growth Rates to Noisy Measurement

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  • Frank T. Denton
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    Abstract

    Aggregate rates of productivity growth are among the most closely watched indicators of economic performance. They are also among the most difficult to measure accurately. This paper explores the sensitivity of such rates to random measurement error using a simple generic model. The model allows for errors in the input and output components of the productivity ratio, with different variances, and for serial and cross correlation of the errors. The effects of the errors are considered from the point of view of growth rates themselves, changes in growth rates, and comparisons between rates in different countries.

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    File URL: http://socserv.mcmaster.ca/qsep/p/qsep415.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by McMaster University in its series Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports with number 415.

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    Length: 21 pages
    Date of creation: May 2007
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:mcm:qseprr:415

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    Keywords: productivity; growth rates; measurement error;

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