Evaluating the Effects of Decoupled Payments under Output and Price Uncertainty
AbstractThis paper examines the effects of decoupling policies on Greek cotton production under the hypothesis that producers face uncertainty about output price and quantity. Using our estimation results we simulate the effects on cotton production under four alternative policy scenarios: the ‘Old’ CAP regime (i.e. the policy practiced until 2005), the Mid Term Review regime, a fully decoupled policy regime and a free trade-no policy scenario. Our results indicate the decoupled payment will have two contradictious effects on risk aversion. Producers become less risk averse through the wealth effect but more risk averse because of the increased output variance. The overall result of these two effects depends on the degree of risk aversion by farmers. We found that when the degree of risk aversion is high the wealth effect is positive. However, in the case of low risk aversion, the wealth disappears in practice and as a result the decoupled payments become production neutral.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Department of Economics, University of Macedonia in its series Discussion Paper Series with number 2010_04.
Date of creation: Apr 2010
Date of revision: Apr 2010
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Common Agricultural Policy; decoupling; uncertainty;
Other versions of this item:
- Kotakou, Christina A. & Katranidis, Stelios D., 2010. "Evaluating the Effects of Decoupled Payments under Output and Price Uncertainty," 84th Annual Conference, March 29-31, 2010, Edinburgh, Scotland 91753, Agricultural Economics Society.
- D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
- Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AGR-2010-04-17 (Agricultural Economics)
- NEP-ALL-2010-04-17 (All new papers)
- NEP-UPT-2010-04-17 (Utility Models & Prospect Theory)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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