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Financial Market Reaction to Federal Reserve Communications: Does the Crisis Make a Difference?

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Author Info

  • Bernd Hayo

    ()
    (Philipps-University Marburg)

  • Ali M. Kutan

    (Southern Illinois University Edwardsville)

  • Matthias Neuenkirch

    ()
    (Philipps-University Marburg)

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of Federal Reserve communications on US financial market returns from 1998 to 2009 and asks whether a significant change occurred during the financial crisis of August 2007–December 2009. We find, first, that central bank communication moves financial markets in the intended direction. In particular, shorter maturities are affected in an economically meaningful way. Second, speeches by the Chairman generate relatively more public attention than communication by other governors or presidents. Finally, central bank communication is even more market relevant during the financial crisis subsample.

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File URL: http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/magkspapers/08-2008_hayo.pdf
File Function: Sixth version, 2011
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) in its series MAGKS Papers on Economics with number 200808.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in
Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:200808

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Related research

Keywords: Central Bank Communication; Federal Reserve; Financial Crisis; Financial Markets; Monetary Policy;

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Cited by:
  1. Matthias Neuenkirch, 2013. "Federal Reserve Communications and Newswire Coverage," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201330, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  2. Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2010. "Bank of Canada Communication, Media Coverage, and Financial Market Reactions," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201020, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  3. Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2010. "Do Federal Reserve communications help predict federal funds target rate decisions?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1014-1024, December.
  4. Bernd Hayo & Ali M. Kutan & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2009. "Federal Reserve Communications and Emerging Equity Markets," MAGKS Papers on Economics 200923, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  5. Melanie-Kristin Beck & Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2013. "Central bank communication and correlation between financial markets: Canada and the United States," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 277-296, June.
  6. Hayo, Bernd & Kutan, Ali M. & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2012. "Communication matters: US monetary policy and commodity price volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 247-249.
  7. Dick van Dijk & Robin L. Lumsdaine & Michel van der Wel, 2014. "Market Set-Up in Advance of Federal Reserve Policy Decisions," NBER Working Papers 19814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Fender, Ingo & Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2012. "Daily pricing of emerging market sovereign CDS before and during the global financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2786-2794.

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