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Using a Canadian-American Natural Experiment to Study Relative Efficiencies of Social Welfare Payment Systems

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Author Info
Tanguay, Georges
Hunt, Gary
Marceau, Nicolas

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Abstract

We study whether social welfare recipients may end up paying more for their grocery if social welfare payments are more concentrated over time. We first present a theoretical model showing that lower incomes in general and a lower lower bound of the income distribution lead to less mobility for poorer consumers. This causes local stores to have more market power and increase their prices when the incomes of poorer people go down and/or when the number of poorer people goes up. Secondly, we verify these theoretical findings by using a natural experiment to study links between food prices and the more restrictive timing of social welfare payments in Montreal, Canada compared to the timing in Bangor, Maine. We find some statistically significant evidence of : i) a negative effect on prices in the week of social welfare check issue ; ii) increasing prices over a month. We also find that some socio-economic factors such as a higher percentage of single-parent families in one area may increase prices charged by grocery stores in that area.

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Paper provided by CIRPEE in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 0205.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:lvl:lacicr:0205

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Related research
Keywords: Welfare Payments; Grocery Prices; Poverty;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
I30 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - General
I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Alcaly, Roger E & Klevorick, Alvin K, 1971. "Food Prices in Relation to Income Levels in New York City," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(4), pages 380-97, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Glaeser, E. L., 1998. "Should transfer payments be indexed to local price levels?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-20, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N. & Alvarez, Michael R. & Garrett, Geoffrey & Lange, Peter, 1993. "Government Partisanship, Labor Organization and Macroeconomic Performance: A Corrigendum," Working Papers 848, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences. [Downloadable!]
  4. Blaylock, J R, 1989. "An Economic Model of Grocery Shopping Frequency," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(6), pages 843-52, June.
  5. Kunreuther, Howard, 1973. "Why the Poor May Pay More for Food: Theoretical and Empirical Evidence," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 46(3), pages 368-83, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Wilde, Parke E & Ranney, Christine K, 2000. " The Monthly Food Stamp Cycle: Shopping Frequency and Food Intake Decisions in an Endogenous Switching Regression Framework," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, American Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 82(1), pages 200-213, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Georges Tanguay & Gary Hunt & Nicolas Marceau, 2005. "Food Prices and the Timing of Welfare Payments: A Canadian Study," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 31(2), pages 145-160, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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