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Measuring Capacity Utilization in OECD Countries: A Cointegration Method

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  • Anwar M. Shaikh
  • Jamee K. Moudud

Abstract

This paper derives measures of potential output and capacity utilization for a number of OECD countries, using a method based on the cointegration relation between output and the capital stock. The intuitive idea is that economic capacity (potential output) is the aspect of output that co-varies with the capital stock over the long run. We show that this notion can be derived from a simple model that allows for a changing capital-capacity ratio in response to partially exogenous, partially embodied, technical change. Our method provides a simple and general procedure for estimating capacity utilization. It also closely replicates a previously developed census-based measure of U.S. manufacturing capacity-utilization. Of particular interest is that our measures of capacity utilization are very different from those based on aggregate production functions, such as the ones provided by the IMF.

Suggested Citation

  • Anwar M. Shaikh & Jamee K. Moudud, 2004. "Measuring Capacity Utilization in OECD Countries: A Cointegration Method," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_415, Levy Economics Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:lev:wrkpap:wp_415
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John S.L. McCombie, 2000. "The Solow Residual, Technical Change, and Aggregate Production Functions," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 267-297, December.
    2. John S. L. McCombie, 2001. "The Solow Residual, Technical Change, and Aggregate Production Functions," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 23(2), pages 267-297, January.
    3. Ms. Paula De Masi, 1997. "IMF Estimates of Potential Output: Theory and Practice," IMF Working Papers 1997/177, International Monetary Fund.
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    4. Chris Heerden & Riaan Rossouw, 2014. "Resource utilisation Efficiency: A South African Provincial Evaluation," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(4), pages 475-492, December.
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    7. Ignacio Perrotini Hernández & Juan Alberto Vázquez-Muñoz & María Isabel Angoa Pérez, 2019. "Capital accumulation, economic growth and the balance-of-payments constraint: The case of Mexico, 1951-2014," Nóesis. Revista de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades, Nóesis. Revista de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades, vol. 28, pages 38-63, 55.
    8. Wang, Miao & Feng, Chao, 2023. "Measuring capacity utilization under the constraints of energy consumption and CO2 emissions using meta-frontier DEA: A case of China's non-ferrous metal industries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
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    10. Brian Hartley, 2022. "Episodic incidence of Harrodian instability and the Kaleckian growth model: A Markov‐switching approach," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 268-290, February.
    11. Juan Alberto Vázquez-Muñoz, 2018. "Capital accumulation as a determinant of the rate of growth of the Thirlwall’s law," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 63(3), pages 15-16, Julio-Sep.
    12. Dale Squires & Kathleen Segerson, 2022. "Capacity and Capacity Utilization in Production Economics," Springer Books, in: Subhash C. Ray & Robert G. Chambers & Subal C. Kumbhakar (ed.), Handbook of Production Economics, chapter 24, pages 1001-1037, Springer.
    13. Betül Mutlugün, 2022. "Endogenous income distribution and aggregate demand: Empirical evidence from heterogeneous panel structural vector autoregression," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 583-637, May.
    14. Stravelakis, Nikos, 2012. "Why recession and depression policies differ," MPRA Paper 39128, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Félix Jiménez, 2018. "Capacidad productiva, cambio técnico y productividad: Estimaciones alternativas del producto de largo plazo," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2018-454, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    16. Federico Bassi, 2020. "Chronic Excess Capacity and Unemployment Hysteresis in EU Countries. A Structural Approach," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def091, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    17. Lu, Juan & Li, He, 2022. "Can high-speed rail improve enterprise capacity utilization? A perspective of supply side and demand side," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 152-163.
    18. Remzi Baris Tercioglu, 2020. "A sectoral approach to measuring output gap: Evidence from 20 US sectors over 1948-2019," Working Papers 2012, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2021.
    19. Fortuno-Hernández, Josefa Carolina. & Landa-Díaz, Heri Óscar., 2014. "Gasto público, inversión y crecimiento en México , 1980-2014," Panorama Económico, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, vol. 0(19), pages 33-52, segundo s.
    20. Huan Chen & Tingyong Zhong & Jeoung Yul Lee, 2020. "Capacity Reduction Pressure, Financing Constraints, and Enterprise Sustainable Innovation Investment: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-16, December.
    21. Zhipeng Han & Liguo Wang & Feifei Zhao & Zijun Mao, 2022. "Does Low-Carbon City Policy Improve Industrial Capacity Utilization? Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-26, September.

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