Die Rentenreform in der Diskussion Ein Mikrosimulationsmodell für die Altersvorsorge in Deutschland (AVID-PRO)
AbstractEarlier this year the results of the study ”old-age security in Germany 1996 (AVID 96)“ have been published. This study describes the future age-income-situation of the currently employed population. An essential element is the estimation of future individual working-biographies. This discussion paper portrays the instrument of this projection, a microsimulation model for the continuation of the working-biographies to analyse the age-income of the 40 to 60 year old currently employed population of the year 1996 in Germany (AVID-PRO). For the purpose of this microsimulation model we first raised longitudinal section and cross section data samples of working-biographies of about 14.000 persons. In a second step we examined these data by means of different regression-processes of developmenttrends between 1992 and 1996. The aim was the microeconometric estimation for the continuation of suitable models. In the centre of the microsimulation based projection we have three sub-models for the variables ”social-incomesituation“, ”income“ and ”working hours per week“. We projected the working-biography of each individual from his age when he was questioned until the age of 65 with the help of microsimulation. Besides these behaviour-equations AVID-PRO contains a vast number of detailed institutional regulations of the different old-age pension-systems. On the basis of the AVID-PRO completed biography-dates the age-incomes of the individuals have been calculated out of the different old-age security-systems and insurance systems. Selected results are presented. We now have a high-performance microsimulation model for the present old-age pension-reform-debate in Germany. This performance microsimulation model is able to analyse alternative policy-proposals for the old-age pension-system on the basis of a wide representative sample with the possibility to ananlyse different distributional and financing policies and policy impacts on the basis of an individual level.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Research Institute on Professions (Forschungsinstitut Freie Berufe (FFB)), LEUPHANA University Lüneburg in its series FFB-Discussionpaper with number 28.
Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2000
Date of revision:
old age pension reform; old age security; microsimulation;
Other versions of this item:
- Schatz, Christof & Merz, Joachim, 2000. "Die Rentenreform in der Diskussion Ein Mikrosimulationsmodell für die Altersvorsorge in Deutschland (AVID-PRO)," MPRA Paper 7328, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Schatz, Christof & Merz, Joachim, 2000. "Die Rentenreform in der Diskussion Ein Mikrosimulationsmodell für die Altersvorsorge in Deutschland (AVID-PRO)," MPRA Paper 6352, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
- I30 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - General
- I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
- D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Merz, Joachim, 1991. "Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 77-104, May.
- Joachim Merz, 1994.
"Microdata Adjustment by the Minimum Information Loss Principle,"
10, Research Institute on Professions (Forschungsinstitut Freie Berufe (FFB)), LEUPHANA University Lüneburg.
- Merz, Joachim, 1994. "Microdata Adjustment by the Minimum Information Loss Principle," MPRA Paper 7231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Joachim Merz).
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