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Fertility Choices, Human Capital Accumulation, and Endogenous Volatility

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  • Dimitrios Varvarigos

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    Abstract

    In a three-period overlapping generations model, I show that different combinations of preference and technological parameters can lead to different patterns on the joint evolution of human capital and (endogenous) fertility choices. These patterns may include threshold effects and multiple equilibria as well as endogenous fluctuations. In the latter case, fertility is procyclical. Contrary to existing analyses, endogenous economic fluctuations emerge only when the substitution effects (rather than the income effects) dominate. I also show that the elasticity of intertemporal substitution may be an additional factor determining whether the economy can sustain a positive growth rate in the long-run.

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    File URL: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/repec/lec/leecon/dp11-08.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Leicester in its series Discussion Papers in Economics with number 11/08.

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    Date of creation: Nov 2010
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    Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:11/08

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    Keywords: Fertility; Human capital; Cycles;

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    1. Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, 2002. "A Stochastic Model of Mortality, Fertility, and Human Capital Investment," Macroeconomics 0212009, EconWPA.
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