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On the relationship between Nominal Exchange Rates and domestic and foreign prices Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics David Peel
Ivan Paya
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A number of authors have found significant cointegrating relationships between spot exchange rates and domestic and foreign price levels for the major currencies where the magnitude of the coefficients makes economic interpretation of PPP cumbersome. Using theoretically well motivated nonlinear models for "artifitially" created real exchange rates, this paper investigates the properties of two alternative cointegration procedures, namely the Johansen and Saikkonen methodologies. The latter procedure appears to outperform the former one in terms of finding the "true" cointegrating coefficients. The new weights obtained with the Saikkonen method are then used to estimate nonlinear ESTAR model for the real exchange rate. The "new" real exchange rates exhibit, in most cases, much lower half-life shocks than the ones predicted by the Rogoff (1996) puzzle.
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Paper provided by Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department in its series Working Papers with number
004215.
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Date of creation: 2006Date of revision:
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Keywords: PPP ; Johansen ; Saikkoen ; bootstrap ; Other versions of this item:
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2004.
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Working Papers. Serie AD
2004-25, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
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David Peel & Ivan Paya, 2005.
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"Temporal aggregation of an ESTAR process: some implications for purchasing power parity adjustment ,"
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