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The Gains from Improved Market Efficiency: Trade Before and After the Transatlantic Telegraph

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Author Info
Mette Ejrnæs (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)
Karl Gunnar Persson (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)
Abstract

This paper looks at the gains from improved market efficiency in long-distance grain trade in the second half of the 19th century when violations of the law of one price were reduced due to improved information transmission. Two markets, a major export centre, Chicago, and a major importer, Liverpool, are analyzed. We show that there was a law of one price equilibrium throughout the period but that markets displayed spells of demand- or supply-constrained trade when the law of one price was violated. Over time adjustments back to equilibrium, as measured by the half-life of a shock, become faster, violations of the law of one price become smaller and hence less persistent. There were also significant gains from improved market efficiency but that improvement took place after the information ‘regime’ shifted from pre-telegraphic communication to a regime with swift transmission of information in an era which developed a sophisticated commercial press and telegraphic communication. Improved market efficiency probably stimulated trade more than falling transport costs.

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Paper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 06-19.

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Length: 15 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2006
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Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:0619

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Related research
Keywords: market integration error correction law of one price

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F1 - International Economics - - Trade
C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
N7 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Alan M. Taylor, 2000. "Potential Pitfalls for the Purchasing-Power-Parity Puzzle? Sampling and Specification Biases in Mean-Reversion Tests of the Law of One Price," NBER Working Papers 7577, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Froot, Kenneth A. & Kim, Michael & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1995. "The Law of One Price Over 700 Years," Working Papers 95-13, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Kevin O'Rourke & Jeffrey Williamson, 2001. "Globalization and History," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262650592, 03.
  4. Williamson, Jeffrey G., 1990. "The impact of the Corn Laws just prior to repeal," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 123-156, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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