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Idiosyncrasy of Business Cycles Across EU Countries

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Jesper Gregers Linaa

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Abstract

This paper analyses the underlying dynamics of business cycles in the EU-15. Existing literature mainly focuses n the comovement of expansion and contraction phases, while this paper seeks to test the idiosyncrasy of business cycles by studying growth pattern and deepness of industrial production. Hypotheses are tested using formal statistical methods while much existing literature in this field rely on judgements of correlation coefficients. The results obtained here does not give much rise to concern about the possibility of the ECB to choose an appropriate timing and magnitude of changes in monetary policy in order to satisfy the economic development in its member countries.

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Paper provided by Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series EPRU Working Paper Series with number 02-08.

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Handle: RePEc:kud:epruwp:02-08

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  7. Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro, 2001. "Classical and Modern Business Cycle Measurement: The European Case," Economics Series Working Papers 060, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Layton, Allan P & Smith, Daniel, 2000. "A Further Note on the Three Phases of the US Business Cycle," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 32(9), pages 1133-43, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Mike Artis & Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro, 2004. "The European business cycle," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 56(1), pages 1-44, January.
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  12. Timothy Cogley & James M. Nason, 1993. "Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series: implications for business cycle research," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 93-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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  13. Artis, Michael J & Kontolemis, Zenon G & Osborn, Denise R, 1997. "Business Cycles for G7 and European Countries," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 70(2), pages 249-79, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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