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Exchange Rate, Expected Profit, and Capital Stock Adjustment: Japanese Experience

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Author Info
Yoichi Matsubayashi () (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University)
Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the impact of exchange rate shocks on corporate investment. An intertemporal optimization model is developed in which an individual corporation in an open economy adjusts its capital stock according to the Tobinfs q, which represents the future stream of the profit rate and changes by the real exchange rate. By explicitly considering the marginal q, the transmission mechanism from real exchange rate shocks to investment dynamics via expected profitability is examined based on the Vector Autoregressive model. Empirical evidence suggests that the depreciation of the Japanese yen increases the expected profitability of the firm and stimulates corporate investment, especially in the machinery sector. This characteristic basically corresponds to the structure of external exposure and offers an important finding from the viewpoint of Japanese macroeconomic fluctuations.

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File URL: http://www.econ.kobe-u.ac.jp/RePEc/koe/wpaper/2008/0828.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First version, 2008
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University in its series Discussion Papers with number 0828.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:koe:wpaper:0828

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Web page: http://www.econ.kobe-u.ac.jp
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Related research
Keywords: Intertemporal Optimization; Marginal q; Pass-Through; Export Exposure;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-17.


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