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Delay and Dynamics in Labor Market Adjustment: Simulation Results

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Author Info
Erhan Artuç () (Department of Economics, Koç University)
Shubham Chaudhuri (East Asia and Pacific Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Department, The World Bank)
John McLaren (University of Virginia)

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Abstract

We simulate numerically a trade model with labor mobility costs added, modeled in such a way as to generate gross flows in excess of net flows. Adjustment to a trade shock can be slow with plausible parameter values. In our base case, the economy moves 95% of the distance to the new steady state in approximately eight years. Gross flows have a large effect on this rate of adjustment and on the normative effects of trade. Announcing and delaying the liberalization can build – or destroy – a constituency for free trade. We study the conditions under which these contrasting outcomes occur.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by TUSIAD-Koc University Economic Research Forum in its series TÜSİAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum Working Papers with number 0703.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:koc:wpaper:0703

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Postal: College of Administrative Sciences and Economics, Koç, University, İstinye, 80860 İstanbul
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Web page: http://erf.ku.edu.tr
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Related research
Keywords: Labor Mobility; Gross Flows; Delayed Trade Liberalization;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

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  1. Willmann, Gerald & Blanchard, Emily, 2007. "Political Stasis or Protectionist Rut? Policy Mechanisms for Trade Reform in a Democracy," Economics Working Papers 2007,21, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Mitra, Devashish & Ranjan, Priya, 2009. "Offshoring and Unemployment: The Role of Search Frictions and Labor Mobility," IZA Discussion Papers 4136, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  3. Stephen Cameron & Shubham Chaudhuri & John McLaren, 2007. "Trade Shocks and Labor Adjustment: Theory," NBER Working Papers 13463, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Devashish Mitra, 2009. "Offshoring and Unemployment: The Role of Search Frictions and Labor Minority," Working Papers id:2071, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
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