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Are Options on Index Futures Profitable for Risk Averse Investors? Empirical Evidence

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  • Jens Carsten Jackwerth

    ()
    (Universität Konstanz)

  • George M. Constantinides
  • Michal Czerwonko
  • Stylianos Perrakis

Abstract

American call and put options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2007) over 1983-2006 are identified as potentially profitable investment opportunities. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid prices do, while evidence of underpriced calls and puts over this period is scant. In out-of-sample tests, the inclusion of short positions in such overpriced calls, puts, and, particularly, straddles in the market portfolio is shown to increase the expected utility of any risk averse investor and also increase the Sharpe ratio, net of transaction costs and bid-ask spreads. The results are strongly supportive of mispricing. (JEL G11, G13, G14)

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz in its series CoFE Discussion Paper with number 08-08.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: 16 Mar 2008
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Handle: RePEc:knz:cofedp:0808

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  1. Constantinides, George M. & Perrakis, Stylianos, 2002. "Stochastic dominance bounds on derivatives prices in a multiperiod economy with proportional transaction costs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 26(7-8), pages 1323-1352, July.
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  4. Jens Carsten Jackwerth & George M. Constantinaides & Stylianos Perrakis, 2005. "Option Pricing: Real and Risk-Neutral Distributions," CoFE Discussion Paper, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz 05-06, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
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  6. Yacine Ait-Sahalia & Andrew W. Lo, 2000. "Nonparametric Risk Management and Implied Risk Aversion," NBER Working Papers 6130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. George M. Constantinides & Jens Carsten Jackwerth & Stylianos Perrakis, 2009. "Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 1247-1277, March.
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  17. Robert C. Merton, 1973. "Theory of Rational Option Pricing," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, The RAND Corporation, vol. 4(1), pages 141-183, Spring.
  18. Jackwerth, Jens Carsten & Rubinstein, Mark, 1996. " Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1611-32, December.
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Cited by:
  1. George M. Constantinides & Jens Carsten Jackwerth & Alexi Savov, 2012. "The Puzzle of Index Option Returns," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2012-35, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
  2. Alejandro Balbás & Beatriz Balbás & Raquel Balbás, 2013. "On the inefficiency of Brownian motions and heavier tailed price processes," Business Economics Working Papers id-13-01, Universidad Carlos III, Instituto sobre Desarrollo Empresarial "Carmen Vidal Ballester".
  3. Jens Carsten Jackwerth & George M. Constantinaides & Stylianos Perrakis, 2005. "Option Pricing: Real and Risk-Neutral Distributions," CoFE Discussion Paper, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz 05-06, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
  4. Perrakis, Stylianos & Boloorforoosh, Ali, 2013. "Valuing catastrophe derivatives under limited diversification: A stochastic dominance approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3157-3168.
  5. Peter Christoffersen & Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs, 2013. "The Factor Structure in Equity Options," CREATES Research Papers 2013-47, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

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