A k-percent rule for monetary policy in West Germany
AbstractThe concept of rules for monetary policy has been more and more critized in recent years. The Deutsche Bundesbank is also urged to give up monetary targeting. The idea is that the economic performance could be improved if monetary policy became more pragmatic and was more concerned about slow growth and high unemployment. In reality, however, monetary policy in the past decades has been highly unstable and has thus contributed to business cycle fluctuations and inflation. The intended policy oriented at the production potential has not been followed in West Germany. In this paper, a simple model is used to analyze what could have been expected from a rule similar to the one the Bundesbank has intended to pursue since 1974. The simulations for the period 1972-1987 show that strict application of a k-percent rule would have implied less pronounced cyclical fluctuations of domestic demand and a stable price level on average. This result contradicts the view that rules for monetary policy are useless or even counterproductive.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy in its series Kiel Working Papers with number 337.
Date of creation: 1988
Date of revision:
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-91, June.
- Barro, Robert J & Gordon, David B, 1983.
"A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model,"
Journal of Political Economy,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(4), pages 589-610, August.
- Robert J. Barro & David B. Gordon, 1983. "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model," NBER Working Papers 0807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kormendi, Roger C. & Meguire, Philip G., 1985. "Macroeconomic determinants of growth: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 141-163, September.
- Scheide, Joachim, 1984. "Geldpolitik, Konjunktur und rationale Erwartungen," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 378, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
- Mccallum, Bennet T., 1988. "Robustness properties of a rule for monetary policy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 173-203, January.
- Langfeldt, Enno & Scheide, Joachim & Trapp, Peter, 1988. "Is money supply targeting obsolete?," Kiel Working Papers 338, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Dieter Stribny).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.