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Estimating the Shape of Economic Crises under Heterogeneity

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Author Info
Jonas Dovern
Nils Jannsen

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Abstract

During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way. In this paper, we propose a standardization approach to estimate the typical impact of economic crises. We show that our approach leads to estimates that are much less dependent on the sample used to estimate the typical shape and, hence, should give more reliable information about the typical macroeconomic impact of economic crises

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File URL: http://www.ifw-members.ifw-kiel.de/publications/estimating-the-shape-of-economic-crises-under-heterogeneity/estimating-the-shape-of-economic-crises-under-heterogeneity
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy in its series Kiel Working Papers with number 1520.

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Length: 8 pages
Date of creation: May 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:kie:kieliw:1520

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Crisis; Financial Crisis; Banking Crisis; Economic History; United States;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-24.

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