Can trade really hurt? An empirical follow-up on Samuelson's controversial paper

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Can trade really hurt? An empirical follow-up on Samuelson's controversial paper

Author Info

Jürgen Bitzer
Holger Görg
Philipp Schröder

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Abstract

This paper investigates Samuelson's (JEP, 2004) argument that technical progress of the trade partner may hurt the home country. We illustrate this prospect in a simple Ricardian model for sitations with outward knowledge spillovers. Within this framework Samuelson's "Act II" effects may occur. Based on industry level panel data for seventeen OECD countries for the period 1973 to 2000 we show econometrically that the outflow of domestic knowledge via exports or FDI may have a negative impact on industry output in the home country. This is particularly so when exporting to technological less advanced oountries and, more specifically, China

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Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy in its series Kiel Working Papers with number 1451.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:kie:kieliw:1451

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Paper
- Jurgen Bitzer & Holger Görg & Philipp J.H. Schröder, . "Can Trade Really Hurt? An Empirical Follow-up on Samuelson’s Controversial Paper," Discussion Papers 08/34, University of Nottingham, GEP. [Downloadable!]

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
O30 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - General

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

NEP-ALL-2008-10-21 (All new papers)
NEP-INT-2008-10-21 (International Trade)

References listed on IDEAS
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Other versions:
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