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How Resilient is the German Banking System to Macroeconomic Shocks? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Jonas Dovern
Carsten-Patrick Meier
Johannes Vilsmeier
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Macro-stress testing studies often rely on rather short sample periods due to the limited availability of banking data. They may fail to appropriately account for the cyclicality in the interaction between the banking system and macroeconomic developments. In this paper we use a newly constructed data set on German banks’ income and loss statements over the past 36 years to model the interaction between the banking sector and the macroeconomy. Our identified-VAR analysis indicates that the level of stress in the banking sector is strongly affected by monetary policy shocks. The results rationalize the active behavior of central banks observed during periods of financial market crises
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Paper provided by Kiel Institute for the World Economy in its series Kiel Working Papers with number
1419.
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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2008Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:kie:kieliw:1419Contact details of provider: Phone: +49 431 8814-1 Fax: +49 431 85853 Email: Web page: http://www.ifw-kiel.de
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Keywords: stress testing ; banking ; VAR ; Find related papers by JEL classification: C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
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