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Big Elephants in Small Ponds: Do Large Traders Make Financial Markets More Aggressive?

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Author Info
Christina E. Bannier () (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Johann Wolfgang Goethe Universität, Center for Financial Studies)

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Abstract

Market participants often suspect that large traders have a disproportionate effect on financial markets, increasing the aggressiveness of market responses. Prior studies have shown that the impact of a large trader on a currency crisis depends positively on his "size" and informational position. By contrast, this article highlights the role that market sentiment has on the impact of a large trader. If the market believes that fundamentals are weak, then the probability of a crisis depends positively on the trader’s size but negatively on the precision of his information, with these effects reversed in a generally optimistic market. A large player, therefore, need not make market responses more aggressive.

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File URL: http://www.uni-kassel.de/fb7/ivwl/diskussionsbeitraege/workingpaper/papier7705.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Kassel, Institute of Economics in its series Discussion Papers in Economics with number 77/05.

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Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2005
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol 52 (2005), pp 1517-1531.
Handle: RePEc:kas:wpaper:2005-77

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Related research
Keywords: currency crises; large traders; market sentiment; coordination; private and public information;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Giancarlo Corsetti & Amil Dasgupta & Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2004. "Does One Soros Make a Difference? A Theory of Currency Crises with Large and Small Traders," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 71(1), pages 87-113, 01. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. George-Marios Angeletos & Christian Hellwig & Alessandro Pavan, 2003. "Coordination and Policy Traps," NBER Working Papers 9767, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Morris, Stephen & Shin, Hyun Song, 1998. "Unique Equilibrium in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Currency Attacks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 587-97, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Carlsson, Hans & van Damme, Eric, 1993. "Global Games and Equilibrium Selection," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(5), pages 989-1018, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Morris, Stephen & Shin, Hyun Song, 2004. "Coordination risk and the price of debt," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 133-153, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2000. "Global Games: Theory and Applications," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1275, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Michael P. Dooley & Jeffrey A. Frankel, 2003. "Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number dool03-1.
  8. Reinhart, Carmen & Kaminsky, Graciela, 1999. "The twin crises: The causes of banking and balance of payments problems," MPRA Paper 14081, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Giancarlo Corsetti & Paolo Pesenti & Nouriel Roubini, 2001. "The Role of Large Players in Currency Crises," NBER Working Papers 8303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Marcello Pericoli & Massimo Sbracia, 2003. "A Primer on Financial Contagion," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(4), pages 571-608, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Yin-Wong Cheung & Daniel Friedman, 2008. "Speculative Attacks: A Laboratory Study in Continuous Time," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Geir H. Bjønnes & Steinar Holden & Dagfinn Rime & Haakon O. Aa. Solheim, 2009. "'Large' vs. 'Small' Players: A Closer Look at the Dynamics of Speculative Attacks," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Reinhold Kosfeld & Hans-Friedrich Eckey & Jorgen Lauridsen, 2007. "Disparities in Prices and Income Across German NUTS 3 Regions," Discussion Papers in Economics 93/07, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Jochen Michaelis, 2007. "Internationaler Handel," Discussion Papers in Economics 91/07, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Christina Bannier, 2007. "Heterogeneous multiple bank financing: does it reduce inefficient credit-renegotiation incidences?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 445-470, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Hans-Friedrich Eckey & Reinhold Kosfeld & Matthias Türck, 2006. "Abgrenzung deutscher Arbeitsmarktregionen," Discussion Papers in Economics 81/06, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Reinhold Kosfeld & Christian Dreger & Hans-Friedrich Eckey, 2006. "On the Stability of the German Beveridge Curve - A Spatial Econometric Perspective," Discussion Papers in Economics 82/06, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Tarisa Watanagase, 2007. "Emerging markets in financial globalization: striking the right balance for liberalization," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
  9. Mei Li & Frank Milne, 2007. "The Role of Large Players in a Dynamic Currency Attack Game," Working Papers 1148, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Reinhold Kosfeld, 2006. "Regional Spillovers and Spatial Heterogeneity in Matching Workers and Employers in Germany," Discussion Papers in Economics 89/06, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Hans-Friedrich Eckey & Reinhold Kosfeld & Matthias Türck, 2007. "Anmerkung zur Identifikation von Förderregionen in der "Gemeinschaftsaufgabe"," Discussion Papers in Economics 90/07, University of Kassel, Institute of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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