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The IDE geographical simulation model : predicting long-term effects of infrastructure development projects

Author

Listed:
  • Kumagai, Satoru
  • Gokan, Toshitaka
  • Isono, Ikumo
  • Keola, Souknilanh

Abstract

It is important to be able to predict changes in the location of populations and industries in regions that are in the process of economic integration. The IDE Geographical Simulation Model (IDE-GSM) has been developed with two major objectives: (1) to determine the dynamics of locations of populations and industries in East Asia in the long-term, and (2) to analyze the impact of specific infrastructure projects on the regional economy at sub-national levels. The basic structure of the IDE-GSM is introduced in this article and accompanied with results of test analyses on the effects of the East West Economic Corridor on regions in Continental South East Asia. Results indicate that border costs appear to play a big role in the location choice of populations and industries, often a more important role than physical infrastructures themselves.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumagai, Satoru & Gokan, Toshitaka & Isono, Ikumo & Keola, Souknilanh, 2008. "The IDE geographical simulation model : predicting long-term effects of infrastructure development projects," IDE Discussion Papers 159, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
  • Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper159
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    File URL: https://ir.ide.go.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=38008&item_no=1&attribute_id=22&file_no=1
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fukunari Kimura & Ayako Obashi, 2016. "Production Networks in East Asia: What We Know So Far," ADB Institute Series on Development Economics, in: Ganeshan Wignaraja (ed.), Production Networks and Enterprises in East Asia, edition 1, chapter 0, pages 33-64, Springer.
    2. Lord, Montague & Tangtrongjita, Pawat, 2014. "Scoping Study for the Special Border Economic Zone (SBEZ) in the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT)," MPRA Paper 66417, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Daisuke Hiratsuka, . "ERIA Perspectives on The WTO Ministerial and Asian Integration: A View from Japan," Chapters, in: Yoshifumi Fukunaga & John Riady, Pierre Sauve (ed.), The Road To Bali: ERIA Perspectives on the WTO Ministerial and Asian Integration, chapter 5, pages 63-71, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    4. Zunaira Khadim & Irem Batool & Muhammad Bilal Lodhi, 2021. "China–Pakistan Economic Corridor, Logistics Developments and Economic Growth in Pakistan," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Lord, Montague & Tangtrongjita, Pawat, 2014. "Special Border Economic Zone (SBEZ) in the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT)," MPRA Paper 61060, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ikumo Isono, 2011. "Economic Integration and the Expansion of Trade and Transport Networks," Chapters, in: Masahisa Fujita & Ikuo Kuroiwa & Satoru Kumagai (ed.), The Economics of East Asian Integration, chapter 13, Edward Elgar Publishing.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Southeast Asia; East Asia; Economic geography; International economic integration; Geographical Simulation Model; Spatial economics; 東南アジア; 東アジア; 経済地理; 国際経済統合; 空間経済学;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D59 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Other
    • F29 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Other
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • R49 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Other

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