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The IDE geographical simulation model : predicting long-term effects of infrastructure development projects

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Author Info
Kumagai, Satoru
Gokan, Toshitaka
Isono, Ikumo
Keola, Souknilanh
Abstract

It is important to be able to predict changes in the location of populations and industries in regions that are in the process of economic integration. The IDE Geographical Simulation Model (IDE-GSM) has been developed with two major objectives: (1) to determine the dynamics of locations of populations and industries in East Asia in the long-term, and (2) to analyze the impact of specific infrastructure projects on the regional economy at sub-national levels. The basic structure of the IDE-GSM is introduced in this article and accompanied with results of test analyses on the effects of the East West Economic Corridor on regions in Continental South East Asia. Results indicate that border costs appear to play a big role in the location choice of populations and industries, often a more important role than physical infrastructures themselves.

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File URL: http://ir.ide.go.jp/dspace/bitstream/2344/776/1/ARRIDE_Discussion_No.159_kumagai.pdf
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File Function: First version, 2008
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO) in its series IDE Discussion Papers with number 159.

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Date of creation: Jun 2008
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Publication status: Published in IDE Discussion Paper. No. 159. 2008.6
Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper159

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Related research
Keywords: Southeast Asia; East Asia; Economic geography; International economic integration; Geographical Simulation Model; Spatial economics;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D59 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Other
F29 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Other
O53 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
R49 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Transportation Systems - - - Other

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